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Current Win Probability
Emelec 52%
Draw 27.4%
Deportivo Macará 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.6%
27.9%
29.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
27.3%
28.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emelec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emelec's performance.
Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Macará might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emelec than the current prediction. (-8.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emelec that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Macará could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Emelec - Deportivo Macará Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Emelec will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Macará will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Valero M. (G) 14. Caicedo R. 27. Leon F. (C) 4. Segura E. 3. Guerrico I. 5. Mina A. 6. Griffith V. 8. Napoli G. 19. Ruiz J. 7. Klimowicz L. 10. Pizzini F.
1. Rodriguez R. (G) 3. Espinoza J. 21. Etchebarne S. 14. Marrufo J. (C) 13. Ayala M. 5. Estacio J. 16. Cazares J. 77. Chala J. 87. Klinger J. 30. Chamba T. 22. Ferro L.
Substitutes
17. Ayovi J. 18. Carabali M. 22. Castaneda E. (G) 21. Cevallos J. 20. Gonzaga J. 80. Herrera O. 2. Leguizamon A. 30. Mina A. 25. Narvaez R. 16. Quintero S. 28. Tobar B. 24. Viteri A.
50. Caicedo C. 12. Cuero D. (G) 11. Espinoza T. 4. Jimenez J. 26. Medranda M. 10. Miranda M. 9. Posse F. 15. Tello M. 17. Zambrano J.
Coaches
Nasuti C.
Sanguinetti G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Klimowicz L. ⚽, Ruiz J. (A),
33', Marrufo J. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Klimowicz L. ⚽, Pizzini F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chamba T. ↓, Miranda M. ↑,
46', Espinoza J. ↓, Tello M. ↑,
53', Ayala M. 🟨,
61', Pizzini F. ↓, Mina A. ↑,
65', Ruiz J. ↓, Viteri A. ↑,
65', Klimowicz L. ↓, Gonzaga J. ↑,
65', Chala J. ↓, Posse F. ↑,
65', Klinger J. ↓, Espinoza T. ↑,
71', Mina A. 🟨,
76', Mina A. ↓, Quintero S. ↑,
77', Napoli G. ↓, Tobar B. ↑,
83', Marrufo J. ↓, Medranda M. ↑,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Liga Pro (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 0.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Macará may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Macará has had a series of home games.
In this match, Emelec is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Emelec won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:20. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Emelec won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.4:0.6).
Standings
Championship Group
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Macara
31
16
6
9
43:34
9
54
Last Results with these Odds
Emelec - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.61%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Chile
Ecuador
Peru
Watch
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Valero M. (G) 
Guerrico I. 
Griffith V. 
Napoli G. 
Marrufo J. (C) 
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