Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO MINEIRO - ROUND 8

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday

Referee: Teixeira A. M. (Bra)


	Democrata GV		Atlético Mineiro

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.49
	5.5	4.3	1.43
	5.5	4.48	1.49
	5	4.2	1.5
	6.25	4.25	1.47	Watch
	5.8	4.1	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.63 ↓ (6.7)	4.22 ↓ (4.23)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata GV
16.2%

Draw
21.6%

Atlético Mineiro
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

21.6%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

20.7%

67.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata GV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Atlético Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Mineiro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Democrata GV - Atlético Mineiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Recent matches Democrata GV is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético MG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Atlético MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Atlético MG is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Democrata GV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Democrata GV won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Copa do Brasil
28.02.23	Democrata GV - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.02.23	Patrocinense - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
20.02.23	Democrata GV - Pouso Alegre	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	América Mineiro - Democrata GV	2:1 ✺
08.02.23	Villa Nova AC - Democrata GV	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTWLT
- Atlético Mineiro
Copa Libertadores
01.03.23	Atlético Mineiro - Carabobo	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.02.23	Atlético Mineiro - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.02.23	Carabobo - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
18.02.23	Atlético Mineiro - Patrocinense	2:1 ✺
13.02.23	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
12.03.22	Democrata GV - Atlético Mineiro	0:1
21.01.18	Atlético Mineiro - Democrata GV	3:0
25.02.17	Democrata GV - Atlético Mineiro	2:3
14.02.15	Atlético Mineiro - Democrata GV	2:1

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