Match Info

Mineiro - Round 6

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Jose Mammoud Abbas (Governador Valadares)

Referee: Teixeira A. (Bra)


	Democrata GV		North Esporte Clube

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3.05	2.25	Watch
	3.84	3.17	2.14
	3.15	3.03	2.27	Watch
	3.4	2.88	2.05
	3.7	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.8	3.14	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (2.4)	3.06 ↑ (3)	2.14 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata GV
26.4%

Draw
30.2%

North Esporte Clube
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

31.3%

30.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Democrata GV's form might have worsened.

North Esporte Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting North Esporte Clube's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata GV than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Democrata GV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Esporte Clube than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for North Esporte Clube, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Democrata GV - North Esporte Clube Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Democrata GV (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Thulio (C) 2. Leo Dourado 3. Rafael Klein 4. Henrique 6. Bryan 8. Bernardo 5. Luiz Henrique 7. Richard Luca 10. Dudu Pedrotti 11. Marcelinho 16. Elton	31. Yago Oliveira (G) 2. Lucas Mota 26. Leo Gobo 4. Bruno Bispo 6. Foguinho 5. Camacho (C) 8. Evanderson 20. Serginho 30. Yuri Merlim 94. Bruno Lopes 9. Tiago Marques
Substitutes
9. Bismarck 15. Felipe Alves 12. Gabriel Pezao (G) 25. Guilherme F. 23. Halls 14. Josue 18. Marcio Jonatan 17. Marco Antonio 21. Marcos 20. Mauricio Ferreira 19. Pedro Silva 22. Thiago Jesus (G)	10. Christian 13. Diego Guerra 55. Ferreira 17. Gabriel Rossetto 35. Patrick Santos 92. Rafael Pin (G) 28. Rennan Siqueira 1. Reynaldo (G) 95. Rodrigo Fumaca 34. Ulisses 98. Wandinho 23. Wellisson
Coaches
Wladimir Araujo	Ferreira D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Yuri Merlim ⚽,
24', Bernardo 🟨,
27', 0 - 2, Tiago Marques ⚽,
35', Richard Luca ↓, Marcio Jonatan ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lucas Mota ↓, Wellisson ↑,
46', Marcelinho ↓, Bismarck ↑,
46', Dudu Pedrotti ↓, Mauricio Ferreira ↑,
46', Rafael Klein ↓, Marcos ↑,
56', Bismarck ↓, Pedro Silva ↑,
88', Tiago Marques ↓, Gabriel Rossetto ↑,
88', Camacho ↓, Ferreira ↑,
90+14', Elton ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
90+22', 1 - 2, Marcio Jonatan (Penalty Awarded),
90+24', Evanderson ↓, Diego Guerra ↑,
90+29', Ferreira 🟨,
90+38', 1 - 3, Gabriel Rossetto ⚽,
90+39', Serginho ↓, Rodrigo Fumaca ↑,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

North could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
25.01.26	Tombense - Democrata GV	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Cruzeiro - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Democrata GV - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Itabirito - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.5 LWTLW
- North Esporte Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Pouso Alegre	5:2 ✺
21.01.26	Tombense - North Esporte Clube	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Betim	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	URT - North Esporte Clube	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWLTT

Democrata GV - North Esporte Clube: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide