Match Info

Mineiro - Round 1

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Referee: Candido Alves R. (Bra)


	Itabirito		Democrata GV

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.9	2.6
	2.18	2.98	3.45	Watch
	2.14	2.87	3.68	Watch
	2.1	2.75	3.5
	2.11	3.06	3.7	Watch
	2.2	2.83	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.62)	2.9 ↓ (3)	3.43 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Itabirito
41.3%

Draw
31.8%

Democrata GV
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30.6%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabirito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Itabirito's performance.

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Democrata GV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Itabirito - Democrata GV Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Itabirito (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Itabirito will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Itabirito (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
97. George (G)
15. Bryan Garcia
29. Campero L.
2. Denzel
4. Felipe Camargo
9. Gabriel Morbeck
8. Pedro Rodrigues
11. Ruan Levine
13. Serginho
21. Victor Ferreira
3. Wallace
Substitutes
18. Dudu Albaceta
1. Gabriel B.
10. Givigi G.
17. Gleisinho
22. Hulk
77. Kadu
19. Kevlin
20. Luis Araujo
16. Mateus
6. Renan Gustavo
Coaches
. Martins Junior C. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Bryan Garcia (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Dudu Pedrotti ↓, Mauricio Ferreira ↑,
63', Ruan Levine ↓, Luis Araujo ↑,
63', Campero L. ↓, Matheus Galdino ↑,
67', Bismarck ↓, Marcio Jonatan ↑,
67', Marcelinho ↓, Richard Luca ↑,
67', Giovanni Carignano ↓, Elton ↑,
70', Gabriel Morbeck ↓, Romario ↑,
71', 0 - 1, Marcio Jonatan ⚽,
75', Bryan 🟨,
75', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
80', Bryan ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
81', Serginho ↓, Renan Gustavo ↑,
82', Pedro Rodrigues ↓, Givigi G. ↑,
90+4', Mauricio Ferreira 🟨,

Preview

Itabirito is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Itabirito won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Itabirito FC
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Itabirito - Atlético Monte Azul	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Cianorte - Itabirito	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	Itabirito - Goiatuba	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Itabirito - Operário MS	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Uberlândia - Itabirito	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
21.02.25	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
12.02.25	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Aymorés - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
06.02.25	Uberlândia - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
24.01.24	Democrata GV - Itabirito	1:3

Itabirito - Democrata GV: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide