Match Info

Mineiro - Round 4

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Cruzeiro		Democrata GV

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.18	6.5	12.5
	1.23	5.5	11	Watch
	1.21	5.58	12.09	Watch
	1.22	4.6	12
	1.2	5.15	13.7
	1.25	5.33	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.23)	5.44 ↑ (5.31)	12.05 ↑ (11.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro
75.5%

Draw
16.9%

Democrata GV
7.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.9%

17.4%

7.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Democrata GV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cruzeiro - Democrata GV Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Democrata GV (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

AH +1.5 - Democrata GV (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Democrata GV (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cassio (G) 23. Fagner 34. Jonathan Jesus 43. Joao Marcelo (C) 36. Kaua Prates 77. Japa 20. Ryan Guilherme 11. Arroyo K. 97. Gerson 70. Kenji 91. Chico	1. Thulio (G) 2. Lucas Evangelista 3. Rafael Klein 4. Henrique 6. Bryan 11. Marcelinho 5. Luiz Henrique 8. Bernardo 7. Leo Dourado 9. Bismarck 10. Dudu Pedrotti
Substitutes
44. Bruno Alves 88. Christian 15. Fabricio Bruno 33. Janderson 6. Kaiki 19. Kaio Jorge 2. Kaua Moraes 10. Matheus Pereira 81. Otavio Costa (G) 75. Rodriguinho 22. Villarreal N. 27. Vitinho	27. Batata G. 16. Elton 15. Felipe Alves 12. Gabriel Pezao (G) 25. Halls 17. Josue 19. Marcio Jonatan 14. Marco Antonio 23. Marcos 20. Mauricio Ferreira 21. Pedro Silva 18. Richard Luca
Coaches
Tite	Wladimir Araujo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, Bryan ⚽,
67', Bismarck 🟨,
86', Japa 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4.

In recent matches, Cruzeiro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, Cruzeiro is the clear favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro MG
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
17.01.26	Cruzeiro - Uberlândia	5:0 ✺
14.01.26	Tombense - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Cruzeiro - Pouso Alegre	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
14.12.25	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	2:2 penalties ✺
10.12.25	Cruzeiro - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWL
- Democrata de Governador Valadares
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
17.01.26	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Democrata GV - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Itabirito - Democrata GV	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Athletic Club - Democrata GV	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Democrata GV - Athletic Club	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
12.02.25	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	2:1
18.02.24	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	1:3
09.02.22	Cruzeiro - Democrata GV	1:0
09.02.18	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	0:2
09.04.17	Cruzeiro - Democrata GV	2:0
01.02.15	Democrata GV - Cruzeiro	1:2

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