Match Info

Date: 30 September 2022, Friday

Location: De Vliert ('s-Hertogenbosch)

Referee: van der Eijk S. (Ned)


	Den Bosch		Heracles Almelo

	1	X	2
	5.25	4	1.65
	4.6	3.9	1.6
	4.9	4.1	1.6
	4.8	3.9	1.6
	5.22	4.23	1.66
	4.8	3.8	1.6
	4.9	4.25	1.61	Watch
	4.8	3.95	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↓ (5.4)	4.02 ↑ (3.93)	1.62 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Den Bosch
19%

Draw
23.2%

Heracles Almelo
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

23.5%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

23.2%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Den Bosch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Heracles Almelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Den Bosch - Heracles Almelo Predictions

Users Predictions: Heracles Almelo will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie).

Den Bosch is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heracles is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Heracles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Heracles is a favorite.

There are questionable in Heracles: Polley R. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Den Bosch won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.09.22	Den Bosch - FC Oss	4:1 ✺
12.09.22	Jong PSV - Den Bosch	3:1 ✺
09.09.22	Dordrecht - Den Bosch	2:1 ✺
02.09.22	Den Bosch - Zwolle	1:2 ✺
26.08.22	Almere City - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL
- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
23.09.22	Heracles Almelo - Helmond Sport	2:0 ✺
16.09.22	Telstar - Heracles Almelo	0:3 ✺
09.09.22	Heracles Almelo - VVV-Venlo	5:3 ✺
05.09.22	Jong Ajax - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
29.08.22	Heracles Almelo - MVV Maastricht	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch KNVB Beker
25.09.18	Den Bosch - Heracles Almelo	1:2
Club Friendly
23.07.14	Den Bosch - Heracles Almelo	2:0

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