Match Info

Eredivisie - Relegation - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Yanmar Stadion (Almere)

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)


	Almere City		Den Bosch

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.66	4.4	4.4
	1.65	4.25	4.25	Watch
	1.66	4.7	4.45
	1.69	4.35	4.14	Watch
	1.65	4	4.2
	1.63	4.29	4.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.75)	4.33 ↓ (4.4)	4.34 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almere City
56.9%

Draw
21.6%

Den Bosch
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

21.2%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

20.6%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Almere City - Den Bosch Predictions

Users Predictions: Almere City will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Kuijsten T. (G) 2. Reith B. 22. van de Blaak E. 4. Lawrence J. (C) 16. Takahashi N. 21. el Dahri H. 23. Jacobs Ja. 8. de Haan M. 17. Poku E. 9. Druijf F. 40. Dors M.	36. van de Merbel P. (G) 33. Laros M. 4. van Grunsven T. 3. Maas S. 6. Felida K. (C) 22. Fortes J. 15. de Vries J. 10. van Leeuwen T. 27. Akmum R. 9. Karlsson Grach S. 8. Monzialo K.
Substitutes
5. Bijleveld T. 6. Cornelisse E. 19. de Nijs O. 15. Engel M. 37. Ghogli I. 29. Huisman B. 3. Jacobs Jo. 28. Providence R. 10. Rijkhoff J. 25. Sam A. 30. van der Wilt J. (G) 1. Wendlinger J. (G)	1. Bakker M. (G) 40. Boumassaoudi I. 46. Boushaba A. 26. el Bakkali Z. 17. Semedo E. 7. Sille G. 48. van Balsfoort R. (G) 42. Van Koeverden L. 11. Verbeek D. 39. Wolters R.
Coaches
Rijsdijk J.	Landvreugd U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Dors M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Karlsson Grach S. ↓, Sille G. ↑,
64', de Haan M. ↓, Cornelisse E. ↑,
64', Jacobs Ja. ↓, Rijkhoff J. ↑,
70', de Vries J. ↓, Wolters R. ↑,
70', Felida K. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
74', Dors M. ↓, de Nijs O. ↑,
77', van Leeuwen T. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
78', Fortes J. ↓, Boushaba A. ↑,
78', Cornelisse E. 🟨,
82', 2 - 0, Druijf F. ⚽, el Dahri H. (A),
84', Druijf F. ↓, Huisman B. ↑,
85', Poku E. ↓, Sam A. ↑,
89', 3 - 0, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Reith B. (A),

Preview

First leg result: 3-2. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 2.

Almere City has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Den Bosch has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Den Bosch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Den Bosch has had a series of home games.

In this match, Almere City is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Almere City won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:24. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Almere City won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).

Outrights of Dutch Eredivisie for now

Almere City: 12.14% Den Bosch: 0.79%

Last Results with these Odds

Den Bosch - the odds 3.64 are the expected chance of winning is 25.59%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almere City FC
Dutch Eredivisie
29.04.26	Den Bosch - Almere City	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	VVV-Venlo - Almere City	3:1 ✺
17.04.26	Almere City - Dordrecht	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Willem II - Almere City	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Almere City - Den Bosch	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWLL
- FC Den Bosch
Dutch Eredivisie
29.04.26	Den Bosch - Almere City	2:3 ✺
Dutch Eerste Divisie
24.04.26	Den Bosch - ADO Den Haag	1:3 ✺
20.04.26	Den Bosch - Jong Utrecht	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	FC Oss - Den Bosch	4:2 ✺
10.04.26	Den Bosch - Cambuur	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
29.04.26	Den Bosch - Almere City	2:3
Dutch Eerste Divisie
06.04.26	Almere City - Den Bosch	1:2
21.11.25	Den Bosch - Almere City	5:2
12.05.23	Den Bosch - Almere City	2:2
26.08.22	Almere City - Den Bosch	2:0
18.03.22	Almere City - Den Bosch	2:0
15.10.21	Den Bosch - Almere City	1:0

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