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Current Win Probability
Deportes La Serena 39.5%
Draw 28.2%
Deportes Antofagasta 32.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.5%
26.3%
22.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
25.8%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes La Serena's form might have worsened.
Deportes Antofagasta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Antofagasta's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Antofagasta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Deportes La Serena - Deportes Antofagasta Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Antofagasta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS, 1st Half - yes (3.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Tapia J. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 17. Salazar Y. 5. Alarcon L. 29. Pinto M. 16. Gutierrez J. 28. Orellana J. 8. Escalante G. 23. Marin M. 10. Vargas J. (C) 9. Henriquez A.
25. Cisternas J. P. (G) 31. Ramirez S. 4. Tapia B. 13. Abuhadba Z. 6. Diaz C. (C) 32. Aros V. 10. Rojas D. 26. Hinojosa S. 21. Manzano F. 17. Hurtado B. 16. Gallegos Panozzo M.
Substitutes
36. Contreras B. 24. Diaz F. 6. Diaz S. 26. Dinamarca F. 12. Hernandez M. (G) 4. Mac Allister F. 19. Sandoval B. 20. Velasquez M.
5. Astorga R. 24. Castro P. 8. Leyton S. 1. Marin C. (G) 9. Monreal J. 23. Siegler F. 29. Vega M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Gallegos Panozzo M. ⚽,
26', Aros V. 🟨,
35', 0 - 2, Rojas D. ⚽, Hurtado B. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Vargas J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', Pinto M. 🟨,
51', Pinto M. ↓, Diaz F. ↑,
57', Hinojosa S. ↓, Leyton S. ↑,
63', Henriquez A. 🟨,
64', Orellana J. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
64', Henriquez A. ↓, Bitancurt A. N. ↑,
70', Ramirez S. 🟨,
75', 1 - 3, Hurtado B. ⚽,
76', Rojas D. ↓, Castro P. ↑,
77', Aros V. ↓, Monreal J. ↑,
78', 1 - 4, Monreal J. ⚽,
84', Gallegos Panozzo M. ↓, Vega M. ↑,
84', Vargas J. ↓, Velasquez M. ↑,
84', Marin M. ↓, Sandoval B. ↑,
89', Escalante G. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 4, Escalante G. ⚽, Velasquez M. (A),
90+5', Leyton S. 🟥,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Deportes La Serena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Deportes La Serena might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).
Chile
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Tapia J. (G) 
Escalante G. 
Abuhadba Z. 
Hurtado B. 
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