Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 8

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)


	Deportes Concepción		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.86	Watch
	3.95	3.25	1.98	Watch
	4.25	3.4	1.99
	4.09	3.49	1.88	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.95
	3.88	3.69	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.71)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	1.94 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
24.1%

Draw
27.5%

Colo-Colo
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

27.1%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

26.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	9.1%	72.7%

Deportes Concepción - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Colo-Colo: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Colo-Colo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 21. Rodriguez N. 13. Suarez C. 37. Grillo F. 3. Carrasco D. 27. Sepulveda N. 19. Jara A. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 24. Cavalleri M. 32. Larrivey J. (C)	1. De Paul F. (C) 2. Villagra J. 23. Vidal A. 4. Sosa J. 28. Rojas J. 8. Madrid A. 5. Mendez V. 6. Alarcon T. 26. Ulloa D. 19. Romero M. 22. Aquino C.
Substitutes
39. Escobar B. 30. Espinoza E. 7. Gillard A. 20. Henriquez J. 17. Mesias Gonzalez I. S. 23. Rojas J. 16. Sandoval M. 11. Vejar B. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)	34. Catalan R. 30. Cuevas Y. 13. Fernandez M. 24. Hernandez L. 7. Marchant F. 25. Maureira G. (G) 20. Mendez J. 10. Pastran L. 21. Wiemberg E.
Coaches
Lemma W.	Ortiz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Villagra J. 🟨,
40', Carrasco D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mendez V. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
55', Ulloa D. 🟨,
61', Valencia Rossel L. ↓, Espinoza E. ↑,
61', Cavalleri M. ↓, Rojas J. ↑,
67', Espinoza E. 🟨,
68', 0 - 1, Madrid A. ⚽,
70', Alarcon T. ↓, Marchant F. ↑,
72', Sepulveda N. 🟨,
76', Carrasco D. ↓, Gillard A. ↑,
81', Rodriguez N. ↓, Vejar B. ↑,
81', Jara A. ↓, Henriquez J. ↑,
84', Rojas J. 🟨,
85', Aquino C. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
89', Vidal A. ↓, Catalan R. ↑,
89', Romero M. ↓, Cuevas Y. ↑,
90+6', Gillard A. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga de Ascenso and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Deportes Concepción is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Colo-Colo is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Colo-Colo is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colo Colo	23	17	3	3	48:22	26	54
9	D. Concepcion	23	9	4	10	25:26	-1	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Copa de la Liga
29.03.26	Coquimbo Unido - Deportes Concepción	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Huachipato - Deportes Concepción	2:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
13.03.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes Concepción	3:0 ✺
06.03.26	Deportes Concepción - Ñublense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLTLL
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Copa de la Liga
01.04.26	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
24.03.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Colo-Colo - Coquimbo Unido	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
16.03.26	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Audax Italiano - Colo-Colo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Copa de la Liga
24.03.26	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	1:3
Chilean Cup
19.07.15	Deportes Concepción - Colo-Colo	1:3
16.07.15	Colo-Colo - Deportes Concepción	3:1

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