Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 18

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Concepción		Universidad de Concepción

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.2	3.9	Watch
	1.98	3.30	3.80
	2.02	3.25	3.7	Watch
	2.08	3.53	3.76
	1.99	3.36	3.79	Watch
	2.04	3.45	3.6
	2	3.29	4.21	Watch
	1.95	3.15	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.9)	3.32 ↓ (3.5)	3.8 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
46.9%

Draw
28.3%

Universidad de Concepción
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

26.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.5%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportes Concepción will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 37. Grillo F. 29. Varas D. 18. Rodriguez Y. 16. Sandoval M. 15. Montecinos J. 20. Henriquez J. 30. Espinoza E. 32. Larrivey J. (C)	1. Broun J. (G) 21. Espejo J. 4. Gonzalez O. (C) 6. Ubal B. 15. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 16. Ogaz B. 10. Fuentealba J. 8. Mater F. 20. Rojas L. 25. Salgado H. 18. Waterman C.
Substitutes
27. Acosta D. 24. Cavalleri M. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 9. Escobar C. 19. Jara A. 8. Martinez F. 23. Riquelme C. 7. Romero F. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)	3. Barbieri M. 11. Diaz A. 7. Gonzalez I. 19. Mesias C. 14. Parra P. 5. Retamal D. 23. Romero P. 13. Sanhueza J. (G) 36. Suazo M.
Coaches
Diaz F.	Duarte C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+4', Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 0, Larrivey J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Caceres A. 🟨,
63', Fuentealba J. 🟨,
65', Larrivey J. 🟨,
65', Montecinos J. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
66', Larrivey J. 🟨,
67', Salgado H. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
69', Gonzalez O. 🟨,
74', Henriquez J. 🟨,
75', Henriquez J. ↓, Riquelme C. ↑,
80', Mater F. ↓, Mesias C. ↑,
80', Fuentealba J. ↓, Parra P. ↑,
80', Mesias C. 🟨,
90', Espinoza E. ↓, Cavalleri M. ↑,
90', Sandoval M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
90', Ogaz B. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
90+7', Espejo J. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 2.

Deportes Concepción has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Uni de Concepción is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Deportes Concepción is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	D. Concepcion	23	9	4	10	25:26	-1	31
15	U. De Concepcion	24	6	5	13	18:40	-22	23

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
02.08.26	Deportes Concepción - Universidad Católica	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	Deportes Concepción - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
12.07.26	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
06.07.26	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Temuco	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Huachipato - Deportes Concepción	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWWWW
- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Cup
04.08.26	Universidad de Concepción - Curicó Unido	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.07.26	Universidad de Concepción - Audax Italiano	0:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
05.07.26	Universidad de Concepción - Rangers de Talca	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Universidad de Concepción - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
28.06.26	Curicó Unido - Universidad de Concepción	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
15.02.26	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Concepción	2:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
24.08.25	Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción	1:4
20.04.25	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Concepción	1:2
Club Friendly
12.02.25	Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción	1:0
17.02.24	Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción	0:0
Chilean Cup
15.06.21	Deportes Concepción - Universidad de Concepción	1:0

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