The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Concepción 43.3%
Draw 28.3%
Deportes Santa Cruz 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
26.2%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.7%
26.9%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Concepción's form might have worsened.
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Santa Cruz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Concepción, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Santa Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
0%
80%
Deportes Concepción - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Deportes Concepción will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportes Santa Cruz will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
15. Gomez G. (G) 5. Silva S. (C) 17. Fernandez C. 18. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 20. Zambrano Diego 6. Astete N. 8. Manzo F. 19. Ovalle J. 26. Morales C. 7. Gillard A. 32. Larrivey J.
36. Dobboletta J. (G) 3. Pino Villalon J. (C) 5. Cavero H. 13. Sandoval R. 25. Castillo C. 30. Moreno C. 7. Rivera Faundez N. A. 14. Urzua D. 22. Caroca I. 24. Maturana M. 19. Alegre M.
Substitutes
25. Araya N. (G) 3. Carrasco D. 9. Escobar C. 30. Fuentes N. 10. Nunez F. 23. Ojeda U. 11. Valdivia B.
43. Belmar M. 1. Carreno D. (G) 8. Carreno J. 23. Contreras S. 42. Moreno M. 6. Munoz L. 16. Rodriguez G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Silva S. 🟨,
26', Dobboletta J. 🟨,
41', Rivera Faundez N. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Moreno C. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
50', 1 - 0, Astete N. ⚽,
59', Sandoval R. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
59', Caroca I. ↓, Contreras S. ↑,
60', 🟨,
68', Manzo F. ↓, Fuentes N. ↑,
68', Morales C. ↓, Ojeda U. ↑,
71', Urzua D. ↓, Carreno J. ↑,
75', Ovalle J. ↓, Valdivia B. ↑,
76', Ojeda U. 🟨,
77', Maturana M. ↓, Belmar M. ↑,
81', Pino Villalon J. 🟨,
90+1', Valdivia B. 🟨,
90+4', Larrivey J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
90+4', Castillo C. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
Deportes Concepción has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Deportes Concepción has had a series of away games.
Recently, Deportes Santa Cruz has had a series of home games.
Deportes Concepción is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Santa Cruz - the odds 4.12 are the expected chance of winning is 22.42%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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Gomez G. (G) 
Silva S. (C) 
Rodriguez G. 
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