Match Info

Liga de Primera - Relegation - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ester Roa (Concepción)


	Deportes Concepción		Deportes Antofagasta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.3	3.7
	1.91	3.4	4.18
	1.87	3.60	3.78	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)	3.4 ↓ (3.5)	3.89 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportes Concepción
48.7%

Draw
27.4%

Deportes Antofagasta
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

26.1%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.5%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Deportes Antofagasta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Concepción than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Antofagasta than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

Deportes Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportes Concepción will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportes Concepción will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 9. Escobar C. 24. Espinola J. 7. Gillard A. 31. Kimura N. 32. Larrivey J. 19. Ovalle J. 27. Sepulveda N. 5. Silva S. 11. Valdivia B.	12. Hurtado Perez F. (G) 33. Abuhadba Z. 5. Astorga R. 15. Baez F. 31. Contreras M. 23. Fredes M. 9. Hurtado B. 3. Maluenda M. 21. Manzano F. 10. Souper A. 16. Viveros B.
Substitutes
6. Astete N. 22. L’Huillier N. 1. Munoz J. (G) 10. Nunez F. 23. Ojeda U. 20. Zambrano Diego	11. Bandez J. D. 7. Bravo C. 1. Cisternas J. (G) 26. Hinojosa S. 30. Jara I. 19. Larenas M. 25. Siegler F.
Coaches
Almendra P.	Marcoleta L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Souper A. (Pen),
34', 1 - 1, Larrivey J. ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, Larrivey J. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Viveros B. 🟨,
55', Fredes M. ↓, Bandez J. D. ↑,
56', Viveros B. 🟨,
58', Kimura N. 🟨,
69', Gillard A. ↓, Ojeda U. ↑,
70', Bandez J. D. 🟨,
71', Hurtado B. ↓, Jara I. ↑,
78', Sandoval M. ↓, Astete N. ↑,
90+5', Silva S. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Deportes Concepción will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Deportes Concepción won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.10.25	Deportes Concepción - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Concepción	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Deportes Concepción - San Luis de Quillota	2:2 ✺
11.10.25	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Concepción	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Magallanes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTTW
- Deportes Antofagasta
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
02.11.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Antofagasta	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Universidad de Concepción	3:0 ✺
13.10.25	Rangers de Talca - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Curicó Unido	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.07.25	Deportes Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	0:0
02.03.25	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Concepción	3:1

Upcoming Matches