Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 23

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla (Copiapó)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Deportes Copiapó		Cobresal

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.6	2.88	Watch
	2.25	3.6	2.85
	2.3	3.6	2.9	Watch
	2.27	3.65	2.95
	2.24	3.6	2.93	Watch
	2.15	3.6	2.8
	2.26	3.7	2.84	Watch
	2.3	3.6	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.14)	3.62 ↓ (3.67)	2.88 ↓ (3.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Copiapó
41.5%

Draw
25.9%

Cobresal
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

25.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Cobresal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Copiapó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobresal than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Deportes Copiapó - Cobresal Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cobresal will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leyton R. (C) 3. Calderon E. 8. Vargas N. 15. Garcia D. 11. Reynero F. 33. Andia Leon Y. W. 23. Jaime J. 28. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 10. Luna J. 29. Quinteros M. 31. Diaz I.	22. Requena L. (G) 23. Pacheco G. 16. Hernandez E. 5. Alarcon F. (C) 7. Jorquera M. 8. Sosa E. 28. Cespedes D. 10. Valencia Rossel L. 14. Garcia F. 38. Vilches Araneda A. 17. Lobos F.
Substitutes
4. Araya M. 22. Espinoza N. (G) 9. Figueroa T. 18. Gaete J. 5. Manzano F. 17. Nieto B. 32. Soto B.	4. Bechtholdt F. 11. Lezcano G. 13. Mesias C. 15. Ramirez B. 12. Santander A. (G) 20. Sepulveda N. 3. Toro C.
Coaches
Basay I.	Huerta G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Garcia F. ⚽,
32', Andia Leon Y. W. 🟨,
39', Calderon E. 🟨,
41', Lobos F. ↓, Mesias C. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mesias C. ↓, Sepulveda N. ↑,
46', Andia Leon Y. W. ↓, Manzano F. ↑,
46', Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. ↓, Gaete J. ↑,
52', Garcia D. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Reynero F. ⚽, Diaz I. (A),
62', Manzano F. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Diaz I. ⚽, Luna J. (A),
71', Vilches Araneda A. ↓, Lezcano G. ↑,
75', Diaz I. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
75', Luna J. ↓, Soto B. ↑,
75', Leyton R. 🟨,
78', Garcia F. 🟨,
81', Cespedes D. ↓, Ramirez B. ↑,
81', Reynero F. ↓, Nieto B. ↑,
83', Jaime J. 🟨,
89', Gaete J. 🟨,
90+2', Ramirez B. 🟨,
90+8', Valencia Rossel L. 🟨,
90+10', 2 - 2, Valencia Rossel L. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Copiapó won 0.

Copiapó has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cobresal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cobresal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Copiapó won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 14-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Copiapó won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Primera Division
27.08.24	Deportes Iquique - Deportes Copiapó	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Unión La Calera - Deportes Copiapó	3:3 ✺
17.08.24	Deportes Copiapó - Huachipato	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Deportes Copiapó - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
04.08.24	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL
- CD Cobresal
Chilean Primera Division
28.08.24	Cobresal - Universidad Católica	3:1 ✺
25.08.24	Palestino - Cobresal	3:0 ✺
18.08.24	Cobresal - Deportes Iquique	2:1 ✺
09.08.24	Huachipato - Cobresal	0:0 ✺
04.08.24	Cobresal - Cobreloa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
29.06.24	Cobresal - Deportes Copiapó	3:1
22.06.24	Deportes Copiapó - Cobresal	2:2
Chilean Primera Division
15.04.24	Cobresal - Deportes Copiapó	3:0
22.07.23	Deportes Copiapó - Cobresal	0:3
Chilean Cup
22.06.23	Cobresal - Deportes Copiapó	3:0
Chilean Primera Division
05.02.23	Cobresal - Deportes Copiapó	1:0
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
14.10.18	Deportes Copiapó - Cobresal	2:1

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