Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 20

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla (Copiapó)

Referee: Garay C. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Deportes Copiapó		Huachipato

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.7	3.3	2.45
	2.7	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.75	3.48	2.58
	2.69	3.39	2.51	Watch
	2.6	3.4	2.38
	2.72	3.46	2.42	Watch
	2.7	3.5	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.67)	3.43 ↓ (3.44)	2.48 (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Copiapó
34.8%

Draw
27.4%

Huachipato
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.2%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.6%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Huachipato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	21.4%	14.3%

Deportes Copiapó - Huachipato Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Copiapó will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Huachipato will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Copiapó: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Leyton R. (C) 17. Nieto B. 15. Garcia D. 8. Vargas N. 3. Calderon E. 33. Andia Leon Y. W. 10. Luna J. 5. Manzano F. 4. Araya M. 31. Diaz I. 29. Quinteros M.	24. Cerda F. (G) 28. Gutierrez M. 4. Gazzolo B. (C) 13. Malanca R. 2. Castillo A. 15. Silva S. 10. Palmezano B. 8. Montes G. 18. Gutierrez Jara J. I. 32. Vecino T. 23. Martinez C.
Substitutes
30. Carrasco D. 22. Espinoza N. (G) 9. Figueroa T. 18. Gaete J. 21. Medel de la Fuente M. 28. Oyanedel Hernandez Y. A. 11. Reynero F.	7. Briceno M. 26. Diaz L. 38. Mellado B. 1. Parra M. (G) 9. Rodriguez M. 11. Saez S. 14. Villanueva C.
Coaches
Basay I.	Oca I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Gutierrez M. ⚽, Martinez C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Araya M. ↓, Gaete J. ↑,
46', Malanca R. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
65', Palmezano B. ↓, Villanueva C. ↑,
65', Vecino T. ↓, Saez S. ↑,
76', Quinteros M. ↓, Figueroa T. ↑,
76', Andia Leon Y. W. ↓, Medel de la Fuente M. ↑,
81', Martinez C. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
82', Gutierrez M. ↓, Mellado B. ↑,
82', Nieto B. ↓, Reynero F. ↑,
90+4', Villanueva C. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 2, Briceno M. ⚽, Saez S. (A),
90+7', Leyton R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Copiapó won 0.

Copiapó is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Huachipato is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Copiapó won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Copiapó won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Primera Division
10.08.24	Deportes Copiapó - Ñublense	0:1 ✺
04.08.24	Universidad de Chile - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Deportes Copiapó - Coquimbo Unido	3:0 ✺
20.07.24	OHiggins - Deportes Copiapó	2:0 ✺
Chilean Cup
29.06.24	Cobresal - Deportes Copiapó	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- CD Huachipato
Copa Sudamericana
13.08.24	Huachipato - Racing	0:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
09.08.24	Huachipato - Cobresal	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Unión La Calera - Huachipato	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.07.24	Racing Montevideo - Huachipato	0:2 penalties ✺
Chilean Primera Division
19.07.24	Huachipato - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
17.03.24	Huachipato - Deportes Copiapó	2:1
30.09.23	Huachipato - Deportes Copiapó	1:0
15.04.23	Deportes Copiapó - Huachipato	1:1
26.01.22	Huachipato - Deportes Copiapó	1:0
22.01.22	Deportes Copiapó - Huachipato	2:3
Chilean Cup
02.07.18	Huachipato - Deportes Copiapó	1:1
23.06.18	Deportes Copiapó - Huachipato	1:2

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