Match Info

CHILE: Primera Division - Round 16

Date: 19 July 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Huachipato-CAP Acero (Talcahuano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go, TNT Sports Premium


	Huachipato		Cobreloa

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.9	5.75	Watch
	1.55	4.1	5.5
	1.55	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.25	6.04
	1.57	4.02	5.52	Watch
	1.5	4	5.5
	1.54	4.2	5.62	Watch
	1.54	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.48)	4.11 ↓ (4.41)	5.6 ↓ (6.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Huachipato
60.5%

Draw
22.8%

Cobreloa
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

21.2%

15.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

22.4%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Cobreloa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Huachipato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cobreloa than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Huachipato - Cobreloa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Huachipato will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Cobreloa will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Cerda F. (G) 5. Loyola F. 4. Gazzolo B. (C) 13. Malanca R. 2. Castillo A. 8. Montes G. 14. Villanueva C. 15. Silva S. 10. Palmezano B. 9. Rodriguez M. 23. Martinez C.	22. Avellaneda N. (G) 27. Soto J. C. 4. Tapia B. 5. Gonzalez R. (C) 2. Espejo J. 39. Ogaz B. 20. Sandoval M. 11. Leiva J. 41. Donadell N. 23. Javier Parraguez 7. Insaurralde C.
Substitutes
21. Brea 26. Diaz L. 18. Gutierrez Jara J. I. 28. Gutierrez M. 19. Oyarzun Saravia J. D. 1. Parra M. (G) 6. Sepulveda C.	1. Araya Tobar H. E. (G) 10. Borgnino M. 33. Fernandez P. 24. Garcia L. 6. Palma N. 31. Roco T. 37. Valdes B.
Coaches
Troncoso F.	Giovagnoli D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Javier Parraguez ⚽, Leiva J. (A),
44', Montes G. 🟨,
45+4', Soto J. C. 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Martinez C. (Pen),
45+6', Martinez C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Ogaz B. 🟨,
61', Sandoval M. 🟨,
64', Ogaz B. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
69', Insaurralde C. 🟨,
75', Montes G. (Pen),
80', Rodriguez M. ↓, Oyarzun Saravia J. D. ↑,
80', Palmezano B. ↓, Brea ↑,
85', Villanueva C. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
85', Javier Parraguez ↓, Borgnino M. ↑,
89', Tapia B. 🟨,
90+4', Insaurralde C. 🟥,
90+4', Leiva J. 🟨,
90+6', Soto J. C. 🟨,
90+8', Donadell N. ↓, Palma N. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 1.

Recent matches Huachipato is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cobreloa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Huachipato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Huachipato is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Huachipato won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Huachipato won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Huachipato
Copa Sudamericana
16.07.24	Huachipato - Racing Montevideo	2:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
20.06.24	Ñublense - Huachipato	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
04.06.24	Huachipato - Grêmio	0:1 ✺
29.05.24	Estudiantes La Plata - Huachipato	3:4 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.05.24	Huachipato - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 LLLWW
- Cobreloa
Chilean Cup
12.07.24	Cobreloa - Deportes Iquique	0:2 ✺
06.07.24	Deportes Iquique - Cobreloa	2:0 ✺
28.06.24	Cobreloa - San Marcos de Arica	0:0 ✺
22.06.24	San Marcos de Arica - Cobreloa	0:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
31.05.24	Cobreloa - OHiggins	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
18.02.24	Cobreloa - Huachipato	1:1
05.04.15	Cobreloa - Huachipato	6:0
01.11.14	Huachipato - Cobreloa	2:0
15.01.14	Cobreloa - Huachipato	1:1
11.08.13	Huachipato - Cobreloa	0:0
17.02.13	Cobreloa - Huachipato	3:3
28.07.12	Huachipato - Cobreloa	N/A

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