The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Copiapó 39.9%
Draw 26.9%
Deportes Santa Cruz 33.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.2%
27.9%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
26.2%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Deportes Santa Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Santa Cruz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Copiapó, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Santa Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Santa Cruz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Temperini N. (G) 4. Ortiz A. 5. Torres F. 15. Santander J. 20. Filla M. (C) 3. Suarez N. 28. Espoz F. 26. Perez G. 10. Ledezma I. 7. Ross C. 27. Lopez M.
29. Dobboletta J. (C) 5. Camisassa B. 22. Tati D. 19. Flores E. 31. Romero N. 14. Plaza D. 4. Alucema G. 26. Moreno C. 8. Acevedo D. 30. Arias D. 23. Barrios N.
Substitutes
16. Espinoza Olave S. A. 1. Leyton R. (G) 13. Opazo D. 24. Orellana R. 9. Palacios L. 23. Rojas M. 29. Sanchez S.
12. Alvarado F. 20. Cavero H. 15. Delgado J. 36. Islame Y. 6. Orellana F. 1. Quezada M. 9. Zeineddin N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Perez G. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Alucema G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ledezma I. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
55', Tati D. ↓, Delgado J. ↑,
61', Moreno C. ↓, Alvarado F. ↑,
61', Acevedo D. ↓, Islame Y. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Espoz F. ⚽,
71', Espoz F. ↓, Orellana R. ↑,
72', Perez G. ↓, Espinoza Olave S. A. ↑,
72', Torres F. ↓, Sanchez S. ↑,
78', Santander J. ↓, Opazo D. ↑,
79', Arias D. ↓, Orellana F. ↑,
80', Barrios N. ↓, Zeineddin N. ↑,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 8th in the Promotion - Liga de Primera (Promotion - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Copiapó won 3.
Copiapó is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Deportes Santa Cruz is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Copiapó has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:7 (averaging 2.1:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Copiapó against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:2 goals (averaging 2.6:0.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Copiapo
29
11
8
10
43:42
1
41
14
CD Santa Cruz
29
4
12
13
29:43
-14
24
Last Results with these Odds
Deportes Santa Cruz - the odds 3.2 are the expected chance of winning is 27.9%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Chile
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Temperini N. (G) 
Ortiz A. 
Perez G. 
Islame Y. 
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