The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alianza Lima 74.4%
Draw 16.7%
Juan Pablo II College 8.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
74.9%
16.6%
8.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Juan Pablo II College has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Alianza Lima - Juan Pablo II College Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Duarte A. (G) 17. Advincula L. 4. Chavez G. 3. Antoni M. 13. Huaman M. 5. Pavez E. 15. Castillo J. 27. Quevedo K. 20. Velez J. 8. Castillo E. 34. Paolo Guerrero (C)
23. Vega M. (G) 31. Toledo J. 22. Peralta M. 6. Fuentes P. 3. Sanchez A. 26. Agurto F. 28. Duran J. 8. Flores C. 50. Alaniz M. 39. Juambeltz M. 10. Cueva C. (C)
Substitutes
29. Archimbaud J. 18. Burlamaqui A. 11. Cantero A. 31. Carbajal C. 21. Cari P. 12. De la Cruz A. (G) 25. Gentile G. 99. Girotti F. 9. Ramos L.
16. Anton P. 20. Bazan H. 30. Canova J. 5. Garcia C. 7. Henricks A. 24. Iriarte I. 12. Quispe I. (G) 18. Ramirez E. 29. Tizon C.
Coaches
Guede P.
Zuleta M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
6', Peralta M. 🟨,
39', Agurto F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Fuentes P. 🟨,
57', Castillo J. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Castillo E. ⚽, Advincula L. (A),
66', Peralta M. ↓, Tizon C. ↑,
66', Cueva C. ↓, Henricks A. ↑,
68', Pavez E. ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑,
68', Velez J. ↓, Burlamaqui A. ↑,
73', Agurto F. ↓, Bazan H. ↑,
73', Juambeltz M. ↓, Anton P. ↑,
78', Paolo Guerrero ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
78', Quevedo K. ↓, Gentile G. ↑,
81', Fuentes P. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Castillo E. ⚽, Cantero A. (A),
90+3', Castillo E. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 9).
Alianza Lima is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Juan Pablo II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, Alianza Lima is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alianza Lima won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Including home match between the teams, Alianza Lima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.