Match Info

CHILE: Primera B - Round 21

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena)

Where to Watch on TV:


Chile	TNT Sports, TNT Sports Go


	Deportes La Serena		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.87	3.5	3.75
	1.68	3.52	4.82
	1.92	3.44	3.94	Watch
	1.8	3.4	3.9
	1.83	3.5	4.06
	1.87	3.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.47)	3.47 ↓ (4.05)	3.99 ↓ (6.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
50.4%

Draw
26.5%

Curicó Unido
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

22.9%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

22.2%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes La Serena's form might have worsened.

Curicó Unido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Curicó Unido's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes La Serena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Curicó Unido, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Deportes La Serena - Curicó Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Curicó Unido will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 5. Alarcon L. 3. Osorio R. 17. Guerrero E. 20. Sanhueza D. 6. Diaz S. 8. Molina S. 10. Gallegos S. 21. Espinoza E. 9. Altamirano L. 16. Figueroa J.	30. Santelices L. (C) 4. Meneses C. 14. Gonzalez J. 21. Ormazabal M. 23. Lara K. 20. Herrera C. 8. Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 15. Vidangossy M. 10. Rojas D. 11. Parada S. 13. Bustamante C.
Substitutes
24. Carreno L. 28. Delgado A. 37. Gallardo G. 36. Guajardo Barrera B. 22. Ramirez M. 31. Tapia J. (G) 29. Torres Gaete C. G.	17. Barrios N. 7. Harbottle K. 2. Munoz D. 18. Ortiz F. 24. Saez W. 6. Urzua D. 1. Vergara T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Espinoza E. 🟨,
41', Ormazabal M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Parada S. 🟨,
53', Guerrero E. ↓, Guajardo Barrera B. ↑,
55', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. 🟨,
62', Gallegos S. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Alarcon L. ⚽,
69', Figueroa J. ↓, Delgado A. ↑,
69', Ormazabal M. ↓, Ortiz F. ↑,
69', Espinoza E. ↓, Carreno L. ↑,
69', Bustamante C. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
69', Mendez Gonzalez J. E. ↓, Urzua D. ↑,
76', Meneses C. 🟨,
77', Rojas D. ↓, Harbottle K. ↑,
77', Lara K. ↓, Saez W. ↑,
83', Molina S. ↓, Torres Gaete C. G. ↑,
90+2', Gallegos S. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
90+3', Delgado A. 🟨,
90+3', Herrera C. 🟨,
90+6', Ramirez M. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
31.07.24	Deportes La Serena - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes La Serena	1:2 ✺
14.07.24	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Antofagasta	2:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
16.06.24	Trasandino de Los Andes - Deportes La Serena	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
05.08.24	Curicó Unido - Deportes Recoleta	1:0 ✺
31.07.24	San Marcos de Arica - Curicó Unido	2:3 ✺
27.07.24	Deportes Santa Cruz - Curicó Unido	1:0 ✺
22.07.24	Curicó Unido - Barnechea	0:1 ✺
14.07.24	Unión San Felipe - Curicó Unido	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.03.24	Curicó Unido - Deportes La Serena	1:2
Chilean Primera Division
01.10.22	Curicó Unido - Deportes La Serena	1:0
23.04.22	Deportes La Serena - Curicó Unido	1:3
30.08.21	Curicó Unido - Deportes La Serena	2:0
04.04.21	Deportes La Serena - Curicó Unido	2:0
24.01.21	Deportes La Serena - Curicó Unido	2:0
28.01.20	Curicó Unido - Deportes La Serena	1:0

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