Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 25

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Riquelme M. (Chi)


	Deportes La Serena		Deportes Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.3	2.82	Watch
	2.40	3.40	2.75
	2.32	3.3	2.9	Watch
	2.54	3.4	2.9
	2.31	3.41	2.96	Watch
	2.5	3.35	2.8
	2.45	3.4	2.96	Watch
	2.29	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.48)	3.36 ↓ (3.37)	2.87 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
39.3%

Draw
28%

Deportes Concepción
32.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.5%

27.6%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Deportes Concepción has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Deportes La Serena - Deportes Concepción Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Tapia J. (G) 34. Rasso I. 5. Alarcon L. 33. Delgado R. 23. Marin M. 4. Mac Allister F. 8. Escalante G. 17. Salazar Y. 10. Vargas J. (C) 11. Rubio D. 2. Figueroa G.	25. Araya N. (G) 4. Caceres A. 21. Rodriguez N. 37. Grillo F. 29. Varas D. 18. Rodriguez Y. 20. Henriquez J. 16. Sandoval M. 19. Jara A. 32. Larrivey J. (C) 30. Espinoza E.
Substitutes
6. Diaz S. 16. Gutierrez J. 9. Henriquez A. 28. Orellana J. 7. Oroz A. 3. Perez M. 29. Pinto M. 38. Saez I. (G) 20. Velasquez M.	27. Acosta D. 40. Caceres F. 3. Carrasco D. 24. Cavalleri M. 22. Davila Carvajal M. 9. Escobar C. 15. Montecinos J. 23. Riquelme C. 12. Veloso Espinoza N. (G)
Coaches
Gutierrez F.	Diaz F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Marin M. ⚽,
20', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Henriquez J. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Marin M. ⚽, Delgado R. (A),
39', Caceres A. 🟨,
41', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
42', Marin M. 🟨,
45+2', Grillo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jara A. ↓, Davila Carvajal M. ↑,
57', Rubio D. 🟨,
65', Mac Allister F. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
72', Henriquez J. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
72', Sandoval M. ↓, Riquelme C. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Vargas J. (Penalty Awarded),
86', Salazar Y. ↓, Pinto M. ↑,
86', Rubio D. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
90+1', Espinoza E. ↓, Montecinos J. ↑,
90+1', Larrivey J. ↓, Escobar C. ↑,
90+2', Marin M. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
90+2', Figueroa G. ↓, Velasquez M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1.

Performances by Deportes Concepción have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Deportes La Serena has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:13 (averaging 1.7:2.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Deportes La Serena against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 5:2 goals (averaging 1.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	La Serena	25	8	9	8	39:42	-3	33
11	D. Concepcion	25	9	5	11	27:30	-3	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
11.10.26	Everton de Viña - Deportes La Serena	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Deportes La Serena - Universidad de Chile	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Deportes La Serena - Ñublense	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
23.08.26	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWT
- Deportes Concepción
Chilean Primera Division
11.10.26	Deportes Concepción - Unión La Calera	1:1 ✺
Chilean Cup
04.10.26	OHiggins - Deportes Concepción	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Deportes Concepción - OHiggins	0:1 ✺
27.09.26	Deportes Concepción - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
23.09.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Concepción	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
18.04.26	Deportes Concepción - Deportes La Serena	3:3
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
23.04.16	Deportes Concepción - Deportes La Serena	4:0
22.11.15	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Concepción	3:2
10.05.15	Deportes Concepción - Deportes La Serena	4:2
13.12.14	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Concepción	0:0
14.05.14	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Concepción	2:0

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