Match Info

Liga de Primera - Round 11

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio La Portada (La Serena) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vejar F. (Chi)


	Deportes La Serena		Huachipato

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.18	3.15	3.35
	2.18	3.3	3.55
	2.14	3.22	3.42	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.16	3.1	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.25)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	3.42 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes La Serena
43.3%

Draw
29.5%

Huachipato
27.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

28.4%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

28.7%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes La Serena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Huachipato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huachipato than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Deportes La Serena - Huachipato Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Deportes La Serena will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Huachipato will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lanzillotta F. (G) 21. Gutierrez B. 5. Alarcon L. 33. Delgado R. 17. Salazar Y. 8. Escalante G. 14. Chamorro F. 4. Mac Allister F. 34. Stefanelli N. 11. Rubio D. 10. Vargas J. (C)	12. Bravo C. (G) 2. Guaiquil G. 5. Caroca R. 14. Vargas N. 27. Velasquez L. 8. Silva S. 6. Sepulveda C. (C) 11. Figueroa J. 15. Rodriguez M. 23. Martinez C. 9. Altamirano L.
Substitutes
15. Contreras B. 6. Diaz S. 16. Gutierrez J. 9. Henriquez A. 23. Marin M. 28. Orellana J. 22. Sanhueza Mora E. A. (G) 20. Velasquez M. 2. Zanini A.	30. Altez K. 26. Antinirre H. 7. Briceno M. 10. Canete E. 49. Cruzat I. (G) 24. Leon Munoz M. A. 38. Melgarejo S. 3. Mellado B. 20. Toro C.
Coaches
Gutierrez F.	Garcia J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
34', Lanzillotta F. ↓, Sanhueza Mora E. A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gutierrez B. ↓, Gutierrez J. ↑,
55', Mac Allister F. 🟨,
62', Velasquez L. ↓, Briceno M. ↑,
62', Figueroa J. ↓, Antinirre H. ↑,
64', Antinirre H. 🟨,
68', Gutierrez J. 🟨,
69', Stefanelli N. ↓, Zanini A. ↑,
69', Vargas J. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
83', Sepulveda C. ↓, Leon Munoz M. A. ↑,
83', Rodriguez M. ↓, Canete E. ↑,
83', Rubio D. ↓, Henriquez A. ↑,
87', Guaiquil G. ↓, Altez K. ↑,
89', Altamirano L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 1.

Recent form of Deportes La Serena has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Huachipato has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Huachipato may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Deportes La Serena has had a series of away games.

Deportes La Serena could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Deportes La Serena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes La Serena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Huachipato	25	10	5	10	35:40	-5	35
9	La Serena	25	8	9	8	39:42	-3	33

Last Results with these Odds

Deportes La Serena - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.54%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
18.04.26	Deportes Concepción - Deportes La Serena	3:3 ✺
11.04.26	Deportes La Serena - Everton de Viña	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Universidad de Chile - Deportes La Serena	4:0 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
28.03.26	Unión La Calera - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
25.03.26	Audax Italiano - Deportes La Serena	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLL
- CD Huachipato
Chilean Primera Division
19.04.26	Huachipato - Audax Italiano	3:2 ✺
10.04.26	OHiggins - Huachipato	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Huachipato - Universidad de Concepción	5:1 ✺
Chilean Copa de la Liga
01.04.26	Colo-Colo - Huachipato	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Huachipato - Coquimbo Unido	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
24.08.25	Deportes La Serena - Huachipato	0:2
30.03.25	Huachipato - Deportes La Serena	3:1
14.08.22	Deportes La Serena - Huachipato	0:1
20.03.22	Huachipato - Deportes La Serena	2:3
29.10.21	Deportes La Serena - Huachipato	2:2
25.07.21	Huachipato - Deportes La Serena	0:0
15.11.20	Deportes La Serena - Huachipato	1:0

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