Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA DIVISION - ROUND 9

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Municipal de San Bernardo (San Bernardo)

Referee: Alveal F. (Chi)


	Deportes Magallanes		Universidad Católica

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.3	Watch
	3	3.3	2.25
	3	3.4	2.2
	2.9	3.2	2.24
	3.1	3.64	2.3
	3	3.25	2.2
	2.98	3.6	2.25	Watch
	3	3.3	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.75)	3.4 ↑ (3.3)	2.25 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Magallanes
31.1%

Draw
27.4%

Universidad Católica
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

27.7%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

27.7%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Magallanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Universidad Católica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Magallanes than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Deportes Magallanes - Universidad Católica Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Universidad Católica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Magallanes won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Magallanes won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Magallanes
Copa Libertadores
15.03.23	Independiente Medellín - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
08.03.23	Deportes Magallanes - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
05.03.23	Colo-Colo - Deportes Magallanes	2:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.03.23	Always Ready - Deportes Magallanes	1:3 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
26.02.23	Deportes Magallanes - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 LTLWW
- Universidad Católica
Chilean Primera Division
12.03.23	Universidad Católica - Unión Española	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
07.03.23	Audax Italiano - Universidad Católica	3:2 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
03.03.23	Ñublense - Universidad Católica	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
02.03.23	Millonarios - Universidad Católica	2:1 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
25.02.23	Universidad Católica - Palestino	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Cup
18.07.15	Deportes Magallanes - Universidad Católica	1:2
15.07.15	Universidad Católica - Deportes Magallanes	1:2

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