Match Info

Date: 16 October 2021, Saturday


	Deportes Melipilla		Deportes La Serena

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.87	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.95
	2.28	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.32	3.2	2.95
	2.45	3.33	3.07
	2.3	3.1	3
	2.44	3.22	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.36)	3.24 ↓ (3.27)	2.97 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
39.9%

Draw
28.8%

Deportes La Serena
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

28.3%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

19.8%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Deportes La Serena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Melipilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes La Serena than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportes La Serena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deportes Melipilla - Deportes La Serena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Melipilla is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportes La Serena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Primera Division
09.10.21	Deportes Antofagasta - Deportes Melipilla	1:0 ✺
04.10.21	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Wanderers	1:1 ✺
29.09.21	Universidad Católica - Deportes Melipilla	4:0 ✺
25.09.21	Deportes Melipilla - Audax Italiano	1:1 ✺
15.09.21	Palestino - Deportes Melipilla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTLTL
- Deportes La Serena
Chilean Primera Division
10.10.21	Deportes La Serena - Cobresal	2:1 ✺
05.10.21	Ñublense - Deportes La Serena	0:1 ✺
28.09.21	Deportes La Serena - Everton de Viña	0:2 ✺
25.09.21	Unión Española - Deportes La Serena	2:1 ✺
14.09.21	Deportes La Serena - OHiggins	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
29.05.21	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Melipilla	5:1
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
28.04.19	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes La Serena	4:0
Club Friendly
05.02.19	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Melipilla	0:0
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
29.07.18	Deportes La Serena - Deportes Melipilla	2:2
09.03.18	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes La Serena	2:0

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