Match Info

Date: 17 October 2022, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal Roberto Bravo Santibáñez (Melipilla)


	Deportes Melipilla		Santiago Morning

	1	X	2
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.45	3	2.8
	2.37	3.1	2.7
	2.54	3.16	2.73
	2.45	3	2.7
	2.49	3.24	2.69
	2.41	3.2	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.7)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	2.72 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Melipilla
37.3%

Draw
29.3%

Santiago Morning
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

30.7%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

31.6%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Santiago Morning has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	15.4%	46.2%

Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Morning Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Melipilla will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Santiago Morning will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santiago Morning: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2.

Melipilla is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Santiago Morning is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Melipilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Melipilla won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Melipilla won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
09.10.22	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Melipilla	7:0 ✺
02.10.22	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:2 ✺
24.09.22	Barnechea - Deportes Melipilla	4:2 ✺
13.09.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Temuco	0:1 ✺
06.09.22	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Melipilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLLT
- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
10.10.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Copiapó	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Morning	2:1 ✺
24.09.22	Santiago Morning - Rangers de Talca	3:0 ✺
15.09.22	Deportes Magallanes - Santiago Morning	1:1 ✺
08.09.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Recoleta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.05.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla	1:1
18.12.20	Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla	0:3
05.10.20	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Morning	1:1
24.08.19	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Morning	3:1
16.02.19	Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla	3:2
04.08.18	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Morning	0:1
27.02.18	Santiago Morning - Deportes Melipilla	3:2

Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Morning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide