Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 16

Date: 13 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de La Pintana (Santiago de Chile)


	Santiago Morning		Deportes Copiapó

	1	X	2
	2.8	3	2.3
	3.6	3.25	1.98
	2.69	3.15	2.36
				Watch
	3	3	2.25
	3.58	3.22	2.03	Watch
	3.05	3.15	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.19)	3.13 ↓ (3.18)	2.18 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santiago Morning
29.2%

Draw
29.1%

Deportes Copiapó
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29%

29.1%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

27.8%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santiago Morning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Deportes Copiapó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santiago Morning than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Copiapó than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Santiago Morning - Deportes Copiapó Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Copiapó (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Santiago Morning (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Santiago Morning (votes: 1 - 50%). Copiapó (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Canete L. (G) 14. Vasquez K. 23. Delgado M. 2. Santelices G. 25. Estay D. 17. Castro P. 4. Iturra M. 21. Manriquez Hernandez F. (C) 10. Campillay K. 9. Cid W. 15. Cortes F.	23. Fierro J. (G) 4. Ortiz A. 3. Salomon C. 5. Torres F. (C) 15. Santander J. 8. Coronel J. 21. Fernandez E. 10. Mazurek F. 18. Acosta B. 9. Gallegos Panozzo M. 24. Orellana R.
Substitutes
31. Alvarez D. 1. Arana A. (G) 7. Arancibia M. 6. Asprea T. 27. Coronado M. 5. Gatica M. 8. Salazar S.	22. Espinoza N. (G) 14. Jones T. 31. Lopez M. 13. Opazo D. 16. Osses B. 28. Rios A. 27. Valenzuela B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Fernandez E. 🟨,
18', Manriquez Hernandez F. 🟨,
20', Iturra M. 🟨,
23', Coronel J. 🟨,
30', Santelices G. 🟨,
36', Santelices G. ↓, Gatica M. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Cid W. ↓, Coronado M. ↑,
46', Castro P. ↓, Asprea T. ↑,
58', Orellana R. ↓, Jones T. ↑,
58', Fernandez E. ↓, Rios A. ↑,
68', Gatica M. 🟨,
70', 1 - 0, Manriquez Hernandez F. ⚽,
72', Mazurek F. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
72', Acosta B. ↓, Osses B. ↑,
87', Cortes F. ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
90+4', Campillay K. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Copiapó will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Santiago Morning won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Santiago Morning won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santiago Morning
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.07.25	Cobreloa - Santiago Morning	0:1 ✺
21.06.25	San Luis de Quillota - Santiago Morning	0:0 ✺
15.06.25	Santiago Morning - Unión San Felipe	2:1 ✺
01.06.25	Santiago Morning - Deportes Magallanes	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Santiago Wanderers - Santiago Morning	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.5 WTWTW
- Deportes Copiapó
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
06.07.25	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Copiapó	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Copiapó	1:0 ✺
16.06.25	Deportes Copiapó - San Luis de Quillota	3:0 ✺
30.05.25	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Copiapó	0:1 ✺
24.05.25	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Recoleta	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.02.25	Deportes Copiapó - Santiago Morning	2:2
10.10.22	Santiago Morning - Deportes Copiapó	2:1
11.05.22	Deportes Copiapó - Santiago Morning	2:1
08.09.21	Santiago Morning - Deportes Copiapó	2:3
03.05.21	Deportes Copiapó - Santiago Morning	2:2
27.12.20	Santiago Morning - Deportes Copiapó	2:1
08.10.20	Deportes Copiapó - Santiago Morning	4:1

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