Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 24

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Regional de Chinquihue (Puerto Montt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Deportes Puerto Montt		Curicó Unido

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.10	3.10
	2.15	3.05	3.25
	2.19	3.13	3.24
	2.19	3.23	3.29	Watch
	2.11	3.05	3.15
	2.15	3.1	3.21
	2.11	3.05	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.23)	3.1 ↑ (2.95)	3.2 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Puerto Montt
42.4%

Draw
29.3%

Curicó Unido
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30.2%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

29.1%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Curicó Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curicó Unido than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Deportes Puerto Montt - Curicó Unido Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Curicó Unido will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ureta L. (G) 2. Morales A. 4. Riveros M. 5. Calisto F. 15. Egana K. 27. Mancilla D. 23. Castillo G. 14. Cardenas J. 6. Diaz D. 10. Vargas C. 8. Paredes R. (C)	22. Tello D. (G) 23. Lopez L. 4. Colombo R. 37. Guzman R. 14. Medina C. 21. Ormeno E. 15. Sanhueza H. 19. de La Fuente R. (C) 10. Retamales J. 7. Fernandez N. 13. Bustamante C.
Substitutes
36. Ascui E. (G) 16. Flores J. 34. Gonzalez K. 17. Nieto B. 28. Perez S. 3. Pino Villalon J. 19. Taiva B.	43. Gutierrez F. 17. Inostroza B. 18. Perez F. 8. Romo J. 24. Saez W. 3. Sarria G. 1. Vergara T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Calisto F. 🟨,
34', Vargas C. 🟨,
35', Sanhueza H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Guzman R. 🟨,
64', Paredes R. 🟨,
65', Egana K. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
67', Retamales J. 🟥,
69', 1 - 0, Perez S. ⚽,
78', Castillo G. 🟨,
80', Medina C. ↓, Inostroza B. ↑,
80', Guzman R. ↓, Romo J. ↑,
80', de La Fuente R. ↓, Saez W. ↑,
84', Diaz D. ↓, Nieto B. ↑,
84', Fernandez N. ↓, Gutierrez F. ↑,
85', Sanhueza H. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
90', Vargas C. ↓, Flores J. ↑,
90', Cardenas J. ↓, Gonzalez K. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).

Recent form of Puerto Montt has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Curicó Unido has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Puerto Montt will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Puerto Montt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	D. Puerto Montt	26	10	4	12	26:34	-8	34
13	Curico Unido	26	6	9	11	22:39	-17	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.08.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Puerto Montt	3:1 ✺
22.08.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Iquique	0:4 ✺
16.08.26	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión Española	0:1 ✺
02.08.26	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLTLW
- Curicó Unido
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.08.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Recoleta	0:0 ✺
23.08.26	Curicó Unido - Unión San Felipe	2:0 ✺
17.08.26	Deportes Copiapó - Curicó Unido	4:0 ✺
13.08.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:2 ✺
09.08.26	Rangers de Talca - Curicó Unido	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
25.04.26	Curicó Unido - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1
21.01.17	Curicó Unido - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0
05.11.16	Deportes Puerto Montt - Curicó Unido	0:2
23.04.16	Deportes Puerto Montt - Curicó Unido	2:1
22.11.15	Curicó Unido - Deportes Puerto Montt	3:0

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