The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Puerto Montt 46.6%
Draw 28.2%
Unión Española 25.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.4%
29%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.8%
27.4%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Puerto Montt's performance.
Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión Española Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Puerto Montt will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Unión Española will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Puerto Montt: 46.4% – 99%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ureta L. (G) 2. Morales A. 15. Egana K. 4. Riveros M. 10. Vargas C. 23. Castillo G. 14. Cardenas J. 30. Negrete S. 19. Taiva B. 34. Gonzalez K. 8. Paredes R.
13. Fierro J. (G) 26. Roco B. 32. Molina L. 16. Ormeno M. 3. Alarcon R. 19. Araos A. 17. Massri F. (C) 30. Cordero R. 5. Machado W. 9. Vilches Araneda A. 11. Ratotti F.
Substitutes
36. Ascui E. (G) 5. Calisto F. 21. Espinoza F. 26. Mancilla N. 17. Nieto B. 28. Perez S. 18. Sabella A.
4. Celis M. 2. Contreras K. 15. Droguett B. 6. Jauregui B. 25. Ovando T. 8. Rubio P. 12. Uribe E. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Riveros M. 🟨,
21', Molina L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Negrete S. ↓, Espinoza F. ↑,
46', Araos A. ↓, Droguett B. ↑,
49', Roco B. ↓, Celis M. ↑,
59', Castillo G. 🟥,
67', Egana K. ↓, Nieto B. ↑,
67', Taiva B. ↓, Mancilla N. ↑,
68', Ratotti F. ↓, Rubio P. ↑,
73', Vargas C. 🟨,
77', Cordero R. ↓, Contreras K. ↑,
77', Massri F. ↓, Ovando T. ↑,
83', Espinoza F. ↓, Perez S. ↑,
83', Vargas C. ↓, Sabella A. ↑,
90', 0 - 1, Droguett B. ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).
Puerto Montt is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Unión Española is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Puerto Montt is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Puerto Montt won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
Including home match between the teams, Puerto Montt won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Chile
Usa
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Ureta L. (G) 
Morales A. 
Massri F. (C) 
Machado W. 
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