Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 17

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday


	Deportes Puerto Montt		Universidad de Concepción

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.55
	2.4	3	2.85
	2.53	3.13	2.86
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.43	3.13	2.82
	2.42	3.15	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.34)	3.09 ↑ (2.93)	2.76 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Puerto Montt
37.5%

Draw
29.5%

Universidad de Concepción
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

31.4%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

31.6%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Puerto Montt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Deportes Puerto Montt - Universidad de Concepción Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Puerto Montt will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Viana Caamano M. (C) 2. Torres M. 17. Villegas Jara G. 20. Urzua D. 24. Gallardo G. 21. Manzano F. 10. Rosales R. 8. Pucheta E. 16. Antinirre H. 22. Melivilu Fuentes C. 23. Ramirez H.	1. Garcia M. (C) 2. Saldias J. 27. Molina L. 21. Sanhueza Esparza P. 33. Gonzalez O. 7. Molina S. 6. Medel K. 19. Gonzalez D. 34. Gallegos S. 10. Perez Azambuya E. M. 24. Donoso M.
Substitutes
36. Bandez J. D. 7. Castillo Marin J. 27. Gonzales J. 1. Retamal D. (G) 13. Silva Alamos M. I. 15. Soto Solis P. 11. Soza Quezada C.	12. Araya J. (G) 9. Bogmis J. 17. Diaz S. 23. Gonzalez R. 11. Ibanez I. 4. Lauler G. 14. Orellana F.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Universidad de Concepción could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Universidad de Concepción have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Puerto Montt won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Montt won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Cup
02.07.23	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Puerto Montt	3:0 ✺
25.06.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Provincial Osorno	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
18.06.23	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:2 ✺
12.06.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 LWWLT
- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Cup
02.07.23	Universidad de Concepción - Arturo Fernández Vial	1:0 ✺
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
19.06.23	Universidad de Concepción - Rangers de Talca	3:2 ✺
12.06.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Universidad de Concepción - San Luis de Quillota	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
12.06.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0
01.08.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Universidad de Concepción	1:4
15.03.22	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1
27.09.21	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0
23.05.21	Deportes Puerto Montt - Universidad de Concepción	2:2
Chilean Cup
16.06.18	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:2
09.06.18	Deportes Puerto Montt - Universidad de Concepción	1:0

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