Match Info

CHILE: PRIMERA B - ROUND 2

Date: 12 June 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Concepción (Concepción)


	Universidad de Concepción		Deportes Puerto Montt

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.1	2.95
	2.35	2.6	3.35
	2.3	2.62	3.23
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.22	3.14	3.15	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.35)	2.91 ↑ (2.55)	3.16 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad de Concepción
40.3%

Draw
31.1%

Deportes Puerto Montt
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

36%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

35.3%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad de Concepción has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Deportes Puerto Montt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad de Concepción than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Puerto Montt than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Uni de Concepción will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Puerto Montt will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni de Concepción: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Garcia M. (C) 2. Saldias J. 3. Ahumada E. 21. Sanhueza Esparza P. 27. Molina L. 6. Medel K. 17. Diaz S. 19. Gonzalez D. 7. Molina S. 10. Perez Azambuya E. M. 30. Pinto Y.	12. Viana Caamano M. (C) 2. Torres M. 17. Villegas Jara G. 26. Bahamonde D. 34. Monges R. 10. Rosales R. 21. Manzano F. 8. Pucheta E. 9. Opazo D. 11. Soza Quezada C. 23. Ramirez H.
Substitutes
15. Astudillo H. 33. Gonzalez O. 23. Gonzalez R. 11. Ibanez I. 4. Lauler G. 14. Orellana F. 13. Sanhueza J. (G)	18. Aguilar M. 16. Antinirre H. 25. Arias J. 35. Barrientos F. 5. Calisto F. 24. Gallardo G. 1. Retamal D. (G)

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Segunda Division and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Universidad de Concepción won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Universidad de Concepción will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Universidad de Concepción won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Universidad de Concepción won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Universidad de Concepción
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.06.23	Universidad de Concepción - San Luis de Quillota	0:2 ✺
28.05.23	Unión San Felipe - Universidad de Concepción	4:1 ✺
22.05.23	Universidad de Concepción - Santiago Morning	2:0 ✺
15.05.23	Deportes Temuco - Universidad de Concepción	2:1 ✺
11.05.23	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Antofagasta	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- Deportes Puerto Montt
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.06.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Unión San Felipe	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	Barnechea - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:1 ✺
21.05.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Antofagasta	1:4 ✺
13.05.23	San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Puerto Montt	2:0 ✺
09.05.23	Deportes Puerto Montt - Santiago Morning	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
01.08.22	Deportes Puerto Montt - Universidad de Concepción	1:4
15.03.22	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:1
27.09.21	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:0
23.05.21	Deportes Puerto Montt - Universidad de Concepción	2:2
Chilean Cup
16.06.18	Universidad de Concepción - Deportes Puerto Montt	1:2
09.06.18	Deportes Puerto Montt - Universidad de Concepción	1:0
18.07.15	Deportes Puerto Montt - Universidad de Concepción	1:2

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