The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Marcos de Arica 48.5%
Draw 29.3%
Deportes Recoleta 22.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
27.8%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.2%
26.1%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Marcos de Arica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
Deportes Recoleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Marcos de Arica than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Recoleta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
San Marcos de Arica - Deportes Recoleta Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Tapia B. (G) 15. Cubillos G. 23. Cazula A. 5. Rivera J. 3. Aguila Bastias Y. M. 8. Barrios A. (C) 14. Guerra C. 10. Sagredo B. 22. Donadell N. 18. Galleguillos A. 9. Melivilu Fuentes C.
23. Salazar A. (G) 28. Rodriguez C. 4. Tomarelli F. 16. Viveros B. 14. Lara I. 15. Baez F. 6. Espinoza J. 7. Provoste B. 21. Alvarez G. 9. Estigarribia G. (C) 19. Sanchez P.
Substitutes
20. Abalos A. 4. Iturra M. 19. Pereira D. 26. Rencoret C. 16. Reyes G. 1. Saracho R. (G) 11. Zedan N.
10. Arguinarena M. 17. Carvajal N. 18. Cepeda C. 20. Gonzalez C. 30. Saavedra Saavedra F. I. 22. Vargas J. (G) 11. Viveros D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Tomarelli F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guerra C. ↓, Rencoret C. ↑,
60', Baez F. ↓, Arguinarena M. ↑,
61', Lara I. ↓, Saavedra Saavedra F. I. ↑,
61', Alvarez G. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
65', Galleguillos A. ↓, Reyes G. ↑,
65', Donadell N. ↓, Abalos A. ↑,
67', Reyes G. 🟨,
76', 1 - 0, Reyes G. ⚽,
78', Provoste B. 🟨,
80', Espinoza J. ↓, Viveros D. ↑,
80', Rodriguez C. ↓, Carvajal N. ↑,
84', Melivilu Fuentes C. ↓, Zedan N. ↑,
90+4', Sagredo B. ↓, Iturra M. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 4.
San Marcos de Arica is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Recoleta is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, San Marcos de Arica is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, San Marcos de Arica won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Marcos de Arica won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
Watch
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Tapia B. (G) 
Cazula A. 
Zedan N. 
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