Match Info

Date: 24 October 2022, Monday


	Deportes Santa Cruz		Deportes Melipilla

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.1	2.3
	2.75	3	2.5
	2.75	3.2	2.28
	2.68	3.37	2.23
	2.88	2.9	2.38
	2.61	3.18	2.6
	2.8	3.3	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.3)	3.15 ↑ (2.75)	2.37 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Santa Cruz
33.1%

Draw
28.8%

Deportes Melipilla
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

33.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

31.9%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Santa Cruz's form might have worsened.

Deportes Melipilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Melipilla's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Santa Cruz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Melipilla than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Melipilla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	14.8%	29.6%

Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Melipilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Deportes Santa Cruz will win (votes: 15 - 55.6%). Melipilla will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 14.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportes Santa Cruz: 36.9% – 74.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Deportes Santa Cruz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Deportes Santa Cruz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Santa Cruz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Santa Cruz
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
16.10.22	San Luis de Quillota - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:0 ✺
10.10.22	Deportes Santa Cruz - Unión San Felipe	4:0 ✺
03.10.22	Deportes Recoleta - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Puerto Montt	0:2 ✺
12.09.22	Deportes Copiapó - Deportes Santa Cruz	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLLL
- Deportes Melipilla
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
17.10.22	Deportes Melipilla - Santiago Morning	2:1 ✺
09.10.22	Deportes Magallanes - Deportes Melipilla	7:0 ✺
02.10.22	Deportes Melipilla - Arturo Fernández Vial	2:2 ✺
24.09.22	Barnechea - Deportes Melipilla	4:2 ✺
13.09.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Temuco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Liga de Ascenso
22.05.22	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Santa Cruz	1:0
23.12.20	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Santa Cruz	0:0
31.08.20	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Melipilla	2:4
29.09.19	Deportes Melipilla - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:2
18.05.19	Deportes Santa Cruz - Deportes Melipilla	1:0

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