Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Round 11

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Germán Becker (Temuco)


	Deportes Temuco		Unión Española

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.7
	2.1	3.45	3.05
	2.02	3.47	3.39
	2.15	3.42	3.21	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3
	2.14	3.54	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.55)	3.38 ↓ (3.53)	3.08 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Temuco
43%

Draw
27.2%

Unión Española
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

26.3%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

25.7%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Temuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportes Temuco's performance.

Unión Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Unión Española might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Temuco than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportes Temuco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Española than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Unión Española could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Deportes Temuco - Unión Española Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportes Temuco will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Unión Española will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Urra Y. (G) 5. Lettieri E. 7. Torrealba M. 17. Ortega F. 20. Lavin V. 6. Contreras P. 18. Buonanotte D. 27. Nunez C. 12. Rocha C. 16. Rivera Faundez N. A. 14. Cuadra M.	13. Fierro J. (G) 2. Contreras K. 18. Aja J. 26. Roco B. 32. Molina L. 4. Celis M. 17. Massri F. 15. Droguett B. 25. Ovando T. 8. Rubio P. 20. Wassenne M.
Substitutes
30. Astete N. 23. Gonzalez R. 29. Huanca C. 36. Martinez J. (G) 10. Molina S. 3. Sanhueza M. 8. Troncoso B.	33. Jaramillo C. 22. Nunez A. 16. Ormeno M. 21. Pereira S. 12. Uribe E. (G) 7. Vasquez R. 9. Vilches Araneda A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Molina L. 🟨,
19', Aja J. ↓, Pereira S. ↑,
21', Lavin V. 🟨,
22', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ovando T. ↓, Vilches Araneda A. ↑,
51', Torrealba M. 🟨,
56', 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Vilches Araneda A. ⚽,
66', Torrealba M. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
66', Rivera Faundez N. A. ↓, Molina S. ↑,
80', Cuadra M. 🟨,
80', Rocha C. ↓, Huanca C. ↑,
80', Contreras P. ↓, Troncoso B. ↑,
84', Rubio P. ↓, Vasquez R. ↑,
85', Buonanotte D. ↓, Astete N. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Primera (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Unión Española may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Temuco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Temuco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	U. Espanola	26	10	6	10	32:34	-2	36
11	Deportes Temuco	26	8	8	10	40:36	4	32

Last Results with these Odds

Unión Española - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.29%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Temuco
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
03.05.26	Santiago Wanderers - Deportes Temuco	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Deportes Temuco - Rangers de Talca	2:1 ✺
20.04.26	Deportes Puerto Montt - Deportes Temuco	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Deportes Temuco - Deportes Antofagasta	3:3 ✺
22.03.26	Deportes Temuco - San Luis de Quillota	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTT
- Unión Española
Chilean Liga de Ascenso
30.04.26	Unión Española - Curicó Unido	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Unión Española - Deportes Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
17.04.26	Rangers de Talca - Unión Española	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Unión Española - Cobreloa	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	San Marcos de Arica - Unión Española	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean Primera Division
19.10.18	Unión Española - Deportes Temuco	2:1
13.05.18	Deportes Temuco - Unión Española	2:0
26.11.17	Unión Española - Deportes Temuco	1:1
19.02.17	Unión Española - Deportes Temuco	5:2
02.10.16	Deportes Temuco - Unión Española	1:2

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