The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo La Equidad 22%
Draw 28.9%
Millonarios 49.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.1%
28.2%
43.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.7%
27.8%
44.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo La Equidad's form might have worsened.
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millonarios's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo La Equidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Deportivo La Equidad - Millonarios Predictions
Users Predictions:
Millonarios will win
(13 of 13 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Millonarios will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Beltran E. (G) 13. Abonia Y. 4. Rodas M. (C) 2. Vivas C. 26. Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 5. Masllorens J. 30. Parra Atehortua K. 10. Mayo S. 23. Castilla J. 7. Micolta Piedahita J. 18. Bolivar J.
12. Novoa D. (G) 13. Palacios H. 26. Llinas A. (C) 4. Vargas J. 20. Banguero D. 8. Victoria Palacios D. S. 28. Vega S. 7. Ramirez J. 10. Ruiz D. 70. Mosquera E. 43. Marimon L.
Substitutes
6. Copete D. 32. Gomez Palacio Y. A. (G) 11. Gonzalez F. 8. Monaco M. 16. Montano B. 22. Pena D. 9. Valencia J.
33. Castro A. 11. Castro Espinosa B. D. 32. Giordana S. 6. Mosquera S. 35. Mosquera S. 34. Navarro S. 21. Pereira J. 31. Quinones C. (G)
Coaches
Merino D.
Gonzalez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Ruiz D. (Pen),
8', Ruiz D. 🟨,
15', Gomez Mosquera Y. A. 🟨,
21', Victoria Palacios D. S. 🟨,
45', Rodas M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bolivar J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
46', Castilla J. ↓, Montano B. ↑,
62', Ramirez J. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
62', Vega S. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
62', Mayo S. ↓, Monaco M. ↑,
64', Llinas A. 🟨,
71', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
72', Beltran E. 🟨,
76', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
76', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
76', Mosquera E. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
78', Montano B. 🟨,
79', 1 - 0, Monaco M. ⚽, Valencia J. (A),
85', Palacios H. ↓, Mosquera S. ↑,
86', Giordana S. 🟥,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 2.
La Equidad has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Millonarios has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Millonarios is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Equidad won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, La Equidad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 0.7:1.1).