Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro (Ibagué)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportes Tolima		Real Cundinamarca

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	6.25	Watch
	1.41	4	6.25
	1.55	3.45	5.7	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5.77
	1.64	3.19	6.54	Watch
	1.4	3.9	7.5
	1.61	3.44	5.88	Watch
	1.41	4.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.41)	3.67 ↓ (4.6)	6.34 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportes Tolima
60.2%

Draw
25.2%

Real Cundinamarca
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

20.2%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.7%

19.4%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Tolima's form might have worsened.

Real Cundinamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Cundinamarca than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Deportes Tolima - Real Cundinamarca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Real Cundinamarca will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Asprilla Moreno J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 2, Rubiano J. ⚽,
85', 1 - 2, Lencina G. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Deportes Tolima has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Cundinamarca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Deportes Tolima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Deportes Tolima is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportes Tolima
Colombian Primera A
25.07.25	Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pereira	1:0 ✺
22.07.25	Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima	0:1 ✺
18.07.25	Deportes Tolima - Independiente Santa Fe	0:1 ✺
12.07.25	Deportivo Pasto - Deportes Tolima	3:2 ✺
19.06.25	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLLW
- Real Cundinamarca
Colombian Primera B
26.07.25	Real Cundinamarca - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Patriotas - Real Cundinamarca	2:1 ✺
15.07.25	Real Cundinamarca - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:1 ✺
13.06.25	Real Cundinamarca - Atlético Huila	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Cúcuta Deportivo - Real Cundinamarca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

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