The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Tolima 43.5%
Draw 31.1%
Once Caldas 25.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.6%
27.4%
25%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.4%
29%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Tolima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Deportes Tolima - Once Caldas Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportes Tolima (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Once Caldas (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Neto Volpi (G) 2. Angulo A. (C) 5. Mera J. 3. Angulo J. 18. Florez K. 32. Guzman S. 8. Valencia E. 20. Hernandez J. 24. Parra Osorio A. 9. Sandoval L. 28. Lopez E.
99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 2. Cardona J. 23. Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. 30. Tamayo K. 28. Zuleta M. 5. Rojas I. 10. Sanchez L. 7. Barrios M. 17. Moreno D. (C) 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A.
Substitutes
17. Arrieta C. 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 22. Marquinez L. (G) 31. Moreno Y. 21. Parra Y. A. 4. Pedrozo D. 80. Rovira B. 29. Sanchez N. 11. Valencia J.
36. Acuna R. 16. Castano J. 9. Gomez P. 25. Gonzalez M. (G) 4. Navarro E. 70. Quinones D. 42. Quinones J. 18. Riquett J. 19. Rojas T.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.
Herrera H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Sandoval L. 🟨,
33', Rojas I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Valencia E. ⚽,
62', Moreno D. ↓, Rojas T. ↑,
65', Zuleta M. 🟨,
66', Sanchez L. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
66', Valencia E. ↓, Rovira B. ↑,
67', Zuleta M. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
74', Rojas T. 🟨,
76', Sandoval L. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
76', Lopez E. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
76', Rojas I. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Gomez P. ⚽, Tamayo K. (A),
83', Mera J. ↓, Arrieta C. ↑,
84', Hernandez J. ↓, Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Florez K. ⚽, Rovira B. (A),
90', Guzman S. 🟨,
90+4', Tamayo K. 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Once Caldas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Deportes Tolima could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:14. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportes Tolima won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:7. (average 1.6:0.6).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Deportes Tolima
13
5
5
3
15:13
2
20
9
Once Caldas
13
4
4
5
16:16
0
16
Last Results with these Odds
Once Caldas - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 24.97%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
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Angulo A. (C) 
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