Match Info

Primera A - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Palogrande (Manizales)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2


	Once Caldas		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.3	3.2
	2.18	3.15	3.35	Watch
	2.14	3.55	3.58
	2.13	3.12	3.55	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.11	3.2	3.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)	3.25 (3.25)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Once Caldas
44.1%

Draw
28.8%

Junior Barranquilla
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.4%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Junior will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 16. Castano J. 18. Riquett J. 33. Patino J. 88. Mejia R. 20. Roa A. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A. 10. Sanchez L. 9. Gomez P. 17. Moreno D. (C)	1. Silveira M. (G) 34. Guerrero J. 24. Pestana J. 33. Monzon L. 3. Herrera E. 14. Rios J. 80. Angel Bernal F. S. 20. Sarmiento J. 8. Chara Y. (C) 88. Castrillon B. 9. Paiva G.
Substitutes
12. Aguirre J. (G) 15. Alvarado J. 2. Cardona J. 21. Guzman H. 4. Navarro E. 42. Quinones J. 5. Rojas I. 19. Rojas T. 28. Zuleta M.	70. Bacca C. 77. Barrios C. 21. Canchimbo J. 29. Gutierrez T. 30. Martinez J. (G) 22. Rivas J. 5. Rivera D. 38. Shmalbach A. 19. Socarras D.
Coaches
Herrera H.	Arias A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Angel Bernal F. S. 🟨,
31', Roa A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Paiva G. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sanchez L. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
59', Chara Y. ↓, Rivas J. ↑,
59', Sarmiento J. ↓, Canchimbo J. ↑,
65', Roa A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
73', Pestana J. 🟨,
74', Paiva G. ↓, Gutierrez T. ↑,
74', Castrillon B. ↓, Barrios C. ↑,
76', Barrios C. 🟨,
78', Patino J. ↓, Navarro E. ↑,
78', Gomez P. ↓, Guzman H. ↑,
81', Silveira M. 🟨,
88', Guerrero J. 🟨,
90+1', Monzon L. 🟨,
90+3', Rios J. ↓, Rivera D. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 2.

Once Caldas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Junior has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Once Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Once Caldas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:26. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Once Caldas	13	4	4	5	16:16	0	16
17	Junior	12	2	4	6	18:22	-4	10

Last Results with these Odds

Once Caldas - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 44.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Junior Barranquilla - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 27.25%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
01.05.26	Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Rionegro Águilas - Once Caldas	2:2 ✺
20.04.26	Once Caldas - Inter Bogotá	2:1 ✺
10.04.26	Deportivo Pereira - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
02.04.26	Once Caldas - Independiente Medellín	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWTT
- Junior Barranquilla
Copa Libertadores
07.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
03.05.26	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pasto	4:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
28.04.26	Sporting Cristal - Junior Barranquilla	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
24.04.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Junior Barranquilla	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Junior Barranquilla - Llaneros SA	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
12.02.26	Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla	2:1
26.07.25	Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla	2:2
13.02.25	Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas	2:0
01.12.24	Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas	1:2
27.11.24	Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla	2:2
11.11.24	Once Caldas - Junior Barranquilla	0:0
20.04.24	Junior Barranquilla - Once Caldas	1:0

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