Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Deportivo A Coruña		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4
	1.78	3	4.33
	1.83	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.84	3.21	4.95
	1.53	3.25	5.5
	1.8	3.18	4.81
	1.8	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.56)	3.21 ↓ (3.3)	4.63 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
51.9%

Draw
28.4%

Ponferradina
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26.6%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

26.3%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Deportivo A Coruña - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Parreno G. (G) 23. Navarro X. 15. Vazquez P. 19. Sanchez J. 5. Barcia D. 8. Villares D. 20. Jurado J. 11. Davo 10. Hernandez Y. 27. Mella D. 7. Perez L. (C)	1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 20. Javi Lancho 15. Leal A. 19. Lopez A. 16. Lozano M. (C) 12. Claveria P. 6. Igbekeme J. 11. Dacosta R. 7. Gomez E. 9. Borja V.
Substitutes
9. Barbero I. 35. Lopez R. 40. Marotias O. 16. Munoz P. 42. Puerto A. 1. Puerto E. (G) 17. Rama H. 6. Sevilla S. 21. Valcarce P.	18. Abelenda B. 22. Andujar D. 14. Cerda J. 2. Diez A. 5. Fernandez J. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 3. Jimenez N. 8. Llonch P. 21. Palanca 23. Prendes M. 10. Yuri

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo won 2.

Recent matches Deportivo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Deportivo is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Deportivo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.01.24	Leonesa - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0 ✺
04.01.24	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Sociedad B	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Arenteiro - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
10.12.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Sestao	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Tenerife	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWWTL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.01.24	SD Logroñés - Ponferradina	0:3 ✺
03.01.24	Ponferradina - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
17.12.23	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
10.12.23	Ponferradina - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Real Sociedad B - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
15.10.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1
Club Friendly
15.08.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0
03.08.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Ponferradina	7:1
08.08.21	Deportivo A Coruña - Ponferradina	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
27.06.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Ponferradina	2:1
14.12.19	Ponferradina - Deportivo A Coruña	2:0
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Deportivo A Coruña - Ponferradina	1:0

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