Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Johan Cruyff (Barcelona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Barca TV, FEF TV


	Barcelona B		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.8	2.2
	2.9	3	2.25
	3	2.65	2.24
	3.09	3.06	2.29	Watch
	3.26	2.73	2.44
	3	2.65	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.69)	2.82 ↑ (2.63)	2.28 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona B
28.9%

Draw
31.8%

Ponferradina
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

33.8%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

35.2%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ponferradina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barcelona B than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Barcelona B - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kochen D. (G) 4. Mbacke M. 27. Cuenca A. 5. Dominguez S. 17. Lopez R. 7. Rodriguez D. 8. Garrido A. (C) 39. Soma P. 20. Fernandez G. 10. Hernandez U. 19. Dacosta R.	1. Prieto A. (G) 2. Andujar D. 4. Sibille K. 3. Novoa G. 18. Ramon A. 17. Carrique T. 16. Lozano M. 22. Esquerdo V. 11. Mula A. 9. Cabanzon Y. 10. Valle B. (C)
Substitutes
22. Anaya J. 15. Aziz Issah A. 24. Bikoue 14. Cortes A. 29. Farinas B. 32. Farre L. 42. Fernandez T. 25. Oduro D. 12. Piera J. 41. Yaakobishvili A. (G)	25. Barredo P. (G) 15. Bustos A. 21. Cortes J. 24. Doue M. 6. Fernandez B. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 5. Lancho J. 19. Lopez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Sibille K. 🟥,
3', Prieto A. 🟨,
11', Mula A. ↓, Lancho J. ↑,
31', 0 - 1, Lancho J. ⚽,
45+2', Hernandez U. 🟨,
45+4', Soma P. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lopez R. ↓, Bikoue ↑,
46', Rodriguez D. ↓, Fernandez T. ↑,
55', Cuenca A. 🟨,
59', Lozano M. 🟨,
68', Cabanzon Y. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
68', Valle B. ↓, Bustos A. ↑,
68', Esquerdo V. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
74', 0 - 2, Cortes J. ⚽,
78', Cuenca A. ↓, Anaya J. ↑,
78', Dominguez S. ↓, Cortes A. ↑,
83', Prieto A. ↓, Jimenez A. ↑,
90', Garrido A. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 3, Cortes J. ⚽,
90+2', Garrido A. ↓, Farinas B. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 2.

Barcelona B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Ponferradina is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ponferradina have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Barcelona B won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 16:13 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona B won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 1.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Barcelona B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.01.25	Leonesa - Barcelona B	1:1 ✺
22.12.24	Barcelona B - Athletic Bilbao B	2:2 ✺
13.12.24	Osasuna B - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
08.12.24	Barcelona B - Celta de Vigo B	2:2 ✺
01.12.24	Arenteiro - Barcelona B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TTWTW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
11.01.25	Ponferradina - Sestao	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.01.25	Ponferradina - Real Sociedad	0:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.12.24	Ponferradina - Tarazona	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Lugo - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
19.10.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:1
27.04.24	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:3
17.12.23	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	1:1
Spanish LaLiga2
25.04.15	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	2:1
22.11.14	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	4:4
09.03.14	Barcelona B - Ponferradina	1:0
06.10.13	Ponferradina - Barcelona B	1:0

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