Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 27

Date: 12 March 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Riazor (La Coruña)


	Deportivo A Coruña		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.75
	1.63	3.4	4.75
	1.7	3.5	4.75
	1.65	3.71	5.3
	1.66	3.62	5.1
	1.66	3.5	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (2.07)	3.54 ↑ (3)	4.89 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Deportivo A Coruña
55.2%

Draw
26%

Real Madrid Castilla
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

30.5%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

29.6%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo A Coruña's performance.

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Madrid Castilla might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo A Coruña that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Deportivo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Real Madrid Castilla will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).

Deportivo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Deportivo is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportivo won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Deportivo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.03.23	Linense - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Badajoz	5:0 ✺
19.02.23	Talavera de la Reina - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	San Sebastian Reyes - Deportivo A Coruña	0:0 ✺
04.02.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Mérida AD	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWWTW
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.03.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Rayo Majadahonda	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	San Fernando - Real Madrid Castilla	3:2 ✺
19.02.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
11.02.23	Córdoba - Real Madrid Castilla	1:2 ✺
05.02.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Alcorcón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.10.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Deportivo A Coruña	1:0
Club Friendly
06.08.22	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0
15.08.21	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
05.04.14	Real Madrid Castilla - Deportivo A Coruña	0:2
03.11.13	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid Castilla	2:0

Upcoming Matches