The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Mixco 66.8%
Draw 22.9%
Deportivo Achuapa 10.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64%
23.1%
12.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.5%
21.9%
12.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Deportivo Achuapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Moscoso K. (C) 10. Arce G. 2. Flores N. 32. Gonzalez F. 24. Gonzalez O. 99. Martinez N. 3. Moreno M. 11. Pozuelos Y. 25. Reyes Gonzalez E. J. 9. Rocha K. 16. Urizar J.
12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 88. Carabali Y. 13. Castrillo C. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 4. Gaitan M. 91. Matta A. 7. Mejia C. 17. Rosales L. 20. Sanchez E. 2. Suazo D. 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
18. Bolanos J. 7. Garcia E. 26. Jerry 12. Marquez J. 15. Marroquin R. 23. Padilla M. (G) 29. Quinones E. 20. Segura J. 19. Zuniga E.
36. Aquino D. 11. Bol E. 22. Gonzalez C. 24. Lopez P. . Martir A. . Palma D. 27. Ruiz L. (G) 25. Tiul K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Gonzalez F. ↓, Marroquin R. ↑,
31', Corado Ruano R. E. 🟨,
36', Rocha K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rosales L. ↓, Nunez K. ↑,
46', Corado Ruano R. E. ↓, Martir A. ↑,
46', Arce G. ↓, Jerry ↑,
50', Suazo D. 🟥,
53', Rocha K. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
58', Mejia C. ↓, Bol E. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Jerry ⚽,
65', Matta A. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
67', Reyes Gonzalez E. J. ↓, Zuniga E. ↑,
67', Pozuelos Y. ↓, Bolanos J. ↑,
73', 🟨,
80', Martinez N. ↓, Quinones E. ↑,
80', Williams J. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mixco won 1.
Mixco is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Achuapa is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Mixco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Mixco is the clear favorite.
We predict that Mixco will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mixco won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mixco won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 1.8:0.6).
Guatemala
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Moscoso K. (C) 
Arce G. 
Rocha K. 
Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 
Suazo D. 
Williams J. 
Aquino D. 
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