Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Slowing (Amatitlan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Aurora		Deportivo Mixco

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.92	3.25
	2.21	2.79	3.82
	4.63	1.47	5.64	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.4
	2.15	2.75	3.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.16)	2.57 ↓ (2.71)	3.96 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
37%

Draw
38.2%

Deportivo Mixco
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

33.6%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

32.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aurora's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Mixco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aurora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Mixco than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Aurora - Deportivo Mixco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sanchez L. (G) 17. Bajan D. 49. Campos G. 25. Diaz A. 6. Garcia A. (C) 11. Ibarguen E. 5. Lemus J. 10. Lovato N. 4. Monterroso C. 9. Ruiz D. 30. Soriano B.	30. Moscoso K. (C) 2. Flores N. 32. Gonzalez F. 99. Martinez N. 3. Moreno M. 29. Quinones E. 25. Reyes Gonzalez E. J. 9. Rocha K. 33. Sotomayor J. 37. Yanes A. 19. Zuniga E.
Substitutes
51. Almaraz E. 23. Alvarez J. 27. Arevalo J. 2. Cardona L. 53. Hernandez Lainfiesta M. S. 52. Mingorance P. 1. Navas D. (G) 28. Ticuru J. 31. Urias V.	10. Arce G. 18. Bolanos J. 7. Garcia E. . Gonzalez 14. Illescas K. 15. Marroquin R. 5. Mendez D. 23. Padilla M. (G) 11. Pozuelos Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Bajan D. ⚽,
25', Yanes A. 🟨,
31', Sotomayor J. ↓, Arce G. ↑,
33', Bajan D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Quinones E. ↓, Pozuelos Y. ↑,
49', Diaz A. 🟨,
55', Lemus J. 🟨,
57', Reyes Gonzalez E. J. ↓, Garcia E. ↑,
59', Diaz A. ↓, Ticuru J. ↑,
60', Ibarguen E. ↓, Urias V. ↑,
66', Zuniga E. 🟨,
66', Lovato N. ↓, Mingorance P. ↑,
70', 1 - 1, Martinez N. ⚽,
73', Campos G. ↓, Arevalo J. ↑,
74', Ruiz D. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
82', Rocha K. ↓, Gonzalez ↑,
82', Martinez N. ↓, Marroquin R. ↑,
90+3', Mingorance P. 🟥,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Mixco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aurora is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Aurora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Deportivo Mixco	11	6	0	5	19:17	2	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
25.02.26	Marquense - Aurora	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Aurora - Comunicaciones	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Antigua GFC - Aurora	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Aurora - Cobán Imperial	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Aurora	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLWL
- Deportivo Mixco
Guatemala Liga Nacional
26.02.26	Deportivo Mixco - Mictlán	2:2 ✺
22.02.26	Xelajú - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
19.02.26	Marquense - Deportivo Mixco	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Deportivo Mixco - Comunicaciones	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Mixco	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
30.11.25	Aurora - Deportivo Mixco	1:0
20.09.25	Deportivo Mixco - Aurora	2:2

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