Match Info

Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Guillermo Slowing (Amatitlan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Guatemala	Tigo Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America


	Aurora		Deportivo Achuapa

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.15	4.25
	1.82	3.24	4.67
	1.82	3.28	4.65	Watch
	1.83	2.9	4.4
	1.88	3.24	4.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.71)	3.16 ↓ (3.42)	4.47 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
50.3%

Draw
29.1%

Deportivo Achuapa
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

26.8%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

22%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aurora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Achuapa (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Achuapa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Sanchez L. (G) 17. Bajan D. 2. Cardona L. 25. Diaz A. 6. Garcia A. (C) 64. Gonzalez L. 10. Lovato N. 4. Monterroso C. 7. Motta P. 3. Soriano J. 28. Ticuru J.	12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 11. Bol E. 88. Carabali Y. 13. Castrillo C. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 4. Gaitan M. 10. Macal E. . Martir A. 14. Nunez K. 2. Suazo D. 9. Williams J.
Substitutes
51. Almaraz E. 23. Alvarez J. 27. Arevalo J. . Hernandez Lainfiesta M. S. 11. Ibarguen E. 59. Morales Aguilar A. 1. Navas D. (G) . Tobias G. 31. Urias V.	36. Aquino D. 33. Castillo K. 30. Corado J. 8. de Leon I. 22. Gonzalez C. 7. Mejia C. 27. Ruiz L. (G) 20. Sanchez E. 25. Tiul K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+3', Cardona L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Bol E. ↓, de Leon I. ↑,
46', Motta P. ↓, Alvarez J. ↑,
46', Cardona L. ↓, Ibarguen E. ↑,
58', Gonzalez L. ↓, Urias V. ↑,
65', Carabali Y. 🟨,
68', Martir A. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
73', Williams J. 🟨,
75', Nunez K. ↓, Corado J. ↑,
82', Castrillo C. ↓, Mejia C. ↑,
85', 1 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽,
87', 🟨,
88', Bajan D. ↓, Arevalo J. ↑,

Preview

Aurora is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Achuapa is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Aurora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Aurora is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Aurora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aurora FC
Guatemala Liga Nacional
22.03.26	Malacateco - Aurora	1:1 ✺
19.03.26	Aurora - Deportivo Guastatoya	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Municipal - Aurora	4:1 ✺
11.03.26	Mictlán - Aurora	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Aurora - Xelajú	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLLT
- Deportivo Achuapa
Guatemala Liga Nacional
21.03.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Mictlán	0:2 ✺
18.03.26	Deportivo Mixco - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Marquense	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Comunicaciones - Deportivo Achuapa	4:0 ✺
04.03.26	Antigua GFC - Deportivo Achuapa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Guatemala Liga Nacional
07.02.26	Deportivo Achuapa - Aurora	2:1
18.10.25	Aurora - Deportivo Achuapa	2:1
10.08.25	Deportivo Achuapa - Aurora	1:2

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