The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Achuapa 53.5%
Draw 27.9%
Marquense 18.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.5%
29%
24.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.9%
27.6%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Achuapa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Achuapa's performance.
Marquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marquense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Achuapa than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marquense than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Deportivo Achuapa - Marquense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 36. Aquino D. 19. Betancourt S. 88. Carabali Y. 13. Castrillo C. 6. Corado Ruano R. E. 10. Macal E. 91. Matta A. 66. Santos C. 25. Tiul K. 9. Williams J.
1. Colli J. (G) 80. Amaya W. 5. Cano J. 29. Casas D. 17. Chuc D. 10. Escobar M. 13. Estrada C. 70. Flores D. 3. Fuentes F. 79. Linton O. 99. Rodas M.
Substitutes
11. Bol E. 33. Castillo K. 22. Gonzalez C. . Martir A. 7. Mejia C. 17. Rosales L. 27. Ruiz L. (G) 20. Sanchez E.
6. de Leon C. 20. Elington E. 18. Escobar J. . Esteban P. (G) 19. Joj J. 66. Lopez C. . Mencia R. 14. Ruiz A. 2. Vasquez E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Castrillo C. 🟨,
7', Estrada C. 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Escobar M. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Williams J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Santos C. ↓, Rosales L. ↑,
46', Betancourt S. ↓, Martir A. ↑,
52', Amaya W. ↓, Elington E. ↑,
59', Escobar M. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
60', 1 - 2, Ruiz A. ⚽,
63', Tiul K. 🟨,
67', Tiul K. ↓, Sanchez E. ↑,
75', Aquino D. ↓, Gonzalez C. ↑,
75', Elington E. ↓, Mencia R. ↑,
81', Colli J. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', Macal E. ↓, Bol E. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 1.
Recent form of Achuapa has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Marquense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Achuapa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Achuapa is a strong favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Achuapa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.7:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Achuapa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
South-america
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Cabezas Quinonez E. A. (G) 
Aquino D. 
Betancourt S. 
Williams J. 
Colli J. (G) 
Casas D. 
Flores D. 
Linton O. 
Joj J. 
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