Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)


	Deportivo Alavés		Albacete Balompié

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.1
	1.9	3.25	4.3
	1.85	3.35	4.2
	1.93	3.42	4.49
				Watch
	1.85	3.34	4.55	Watch
	1.88	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.97)	3.36 ↑ (3.24)	4.32 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
50.3%

Draw
28%

Albacete Balompié
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28.9%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.2%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Albacete Balompié has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.3%	17.1%	8.6%

Deportivo Alavés - Albacete Balompié Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). Albacete will win (votes: 3 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 17.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 7).

Alavés has the most likely position - 1 (13.35%), has project points - 67, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Albacete has the most likely position - 17 (6.38%), has project points - 53, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (12%), has a small chance of promoted (6%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 33, importance 36, match rating 34. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Alavés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Albacete is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alavés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alavés will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
08.10.22	Burgos - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
02.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Ponferradina	3:1 ✺
26.09.22	Cartagena - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Alavés - Huesca	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Lugo - Deportivo Alavés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTWW
- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
09.10.22	Albacete Balompié - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
02.10.22	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
25.09.22	Albacete Balompié - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Albacete Balompié - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
10.09.22	Cartagena - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
27.07.19	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo Alavés	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
03.04.16	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
01.11.15	Deportivo Alavés - Albacete Balompié	1:1
16.05.15	Albacete Balompié - Deportivo Alavés	2:3
14.12.14	Deportivo Alavés - Albacete Balompié	2:1

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