The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Alavés 22%
Draw 25.4%
Atlético Madrid 52.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.2%
25.8%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
25.2%
52.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
8.3%
91.7%
Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Atlético Madrid will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 1.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Atlético carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Alavés has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:26 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alavés against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:9 goals (averaging 0.7:1 per game).
Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
Atl. Madrid: 3.08% Alaves: 0.4%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Atl. Madrid
7
5
1
1
16:7
9
16
6
Alaves
7
3
2
2
11:6
5
11
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Alavés - the odds 4.08 are the expected chance of winning is 23.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Atlético Madrid - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 51%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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