What is the expert prediction for Deportivo Alavés vs Girona?

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Deportivo Alavés vs Girona Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, February 23, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 25

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Cordero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1, Nova Sports 4
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, ART Sport 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	Disney+, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Deportivo Alavés		Girona

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.37	2.95	3.3
	2.42	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.37	3.1	3.57
	2.4	3.08	3.26	Watch
	2.4	3.1	2.9
	2.51	3.16	3.16	Watch
	2.28	2.9	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.4)	3.07 ↑ (2.93)	3.26 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
39.8%

Draw
31%

Girona
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

32.5%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

33.8%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.8%	48.1%	24.1%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 15 - 27.8%). Girona will win (votes: 13 - 24.1%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 48.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.8% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Alavés (1.35) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH 0 - Girona (2.17) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 3 - 17.6%). Girona (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Tie (votes: 8 - 47.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 24. Parada V. 3. Yusi 7. Perez A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 10. Alena C. 11. Martinez T. 15. Boye L.	13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 2. Rincon H. 12. Vitor Reis 17. Blind D. 4. Martinez A. (C) 15. Tsygankov V. 11. Lemar T. 20. Witsel A. 23. Martin I. 21. Gil B. 19. Vanat V.
Substitutes
20. Calebe 22. Diabate I. 13. Fernandez R. (G) 2. Garces F. 6. Guevara A. 18. Guridi J. 34. Manas A. 5. Pacheco J. 23. Protesoni C. 21. Rebbach A. 4. Suarez D. 31. Swiderski G. (G)	8. Beltran F. 1. Blanco R. (G) 14. Echeverri C. 16. Frances A. 29. Kourouma L. 25. Krapyvtsov V. (G) 5. Lopez D. 18. Ounahi A. 9. Ruiz A. 7. Stuani C.
Coaches
Coudet E.	Michel

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Boye L. ⚽, Yusi (A),
12', Martinez T. 🟨,
31', 1 - 1, Vanat V. ⚽, Witsel A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Yusi 🟨,
61', Lemar T. ↓, Beltran F. ↑,
61', Martin I. ↓, Echeverri C. ↑,
68', Vanat V. ↓, Ounahi A. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Tsygankov V. ⚽, Ounahi A. (A),
76', Echeverri C. 🟨,
77', Perez A. ↓, Calebe ↑,
77', Ibanez P. ↓, Suarez D. ↑,
84', Beltran F. 🟨,
84', Gil B. ↓, Frances A. ↑,
85', Tsygankov V. ↓, Stuani C. ↑,
88', Blanco A. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
88', Alena C. ↓, Manas A. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Boye L. ⚽, Parada V. (A),

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 15 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alavés will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Alavés: Diaz M. (Coach's decision) Koski V. (Injury)

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Ankle Injury) Juan Carlos (Knee Injury) Moreno A. (Muscle Injury) Portu (Knee Injury) Roca J. (Red Card) ter Stegen M. (Hamstring Injury) van de Beek D. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

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Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Alaves	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
19	Girona	38	9	14	15	39:55	-16	41

Last Results with these Odds

Girona - the odds 3.41 are the expected chance of winning is 27.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
14.02.26	Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Getafe	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.02.26	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.01.26	Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés	1:2 ✺
25.01.26	Deportivo Alavés - Betis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TLLWW
- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
16.02.26	Girona - Barcelona	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Sevilla - Girona	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Real Oviedo - Girona	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Girona - Getafe	1:1 ✺
16.01.26	Espanyol - Girona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.2 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.11.25	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
Club Friendly
30.07.25	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
05.04.25	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
11.01.25	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	0:1
10.05.24	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	2:2
18.12.23	Girona - Deportivo Alavés	3:0
18.05.19	Deportivo Alavés - Girona	2:1

Deportivo Alavés - Girona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide