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Deportivo Alavés - Málaga: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • LaLiga - Round 10
  • Date: 23 October 2026, Friday
  • Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
  • Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Deportivo Alavés Málaga
    Deportivo Alavés Málaga
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 1.65 3.60 5.75 #Advertisement. Watch and Bet. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Watch
    Bwin 1.66 3.70 5.25
    betsson 1.65 3.70 5.60
    Bet_in_Asia 1.68 3.83 5.68
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    Williamhill 1.65 3.75 5.60
    BetNow 1.73 3.86 5.63 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bovada 1.64 3.85 5.60
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.67 ↓
    (1.85)    		 3.75 ↑
    (3.68)    		 5.54 ↑
    (4.18)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

    • The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Deportivo Alavés
    57.3%    		Draw
    25.5%    		Málaga
    17.3%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    51.4% 25.8% 22.8%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    52.2% 25.4% 22.5%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Alavés's performance.
  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Málaga might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Alavés that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Málaga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2

    Deportivo Alavés - Málaga Predictions

  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • New Consensus by Tipsters:
    • 1X2 - CD Alaves (1.73) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
  • Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (22 of 25 users predict this - 88%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 75.26% – 100%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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    Preview

  • A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 7th and 20th in the Relegation - LaLiga2).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 4.
  • Alavés is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
  • Málaga is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
  • Bookmakers give the edge to Alavés for this game.
  • Confirmed absences for Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended) Rodriguez M. (Ankle Injury).
  • Confirmed absences for Málaga: Cruz J. (Muscle Injury) Lobete J. (Knee Injury) Munoz J. (Calf Injury) Murillo D. (Knee Injury) Ochoa A. (Knee Injury).
  • In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Alavés has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 9:4 (averaging 1.5:0.7 goals per game).
  • Specifically in home fixtures for Alavés against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).

    • Standings

    PlWDLDiffPts
    7Alaves932413:10311
    20Malaga90456:18-124

    Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now
    Alaves: 0.26% Malaga: 0.13%
    Last Results with these Odds

    Deportivo Alavés - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.41%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga
    18.10.26 Celta de Vigo - Deportivo Alavés 2:1 ✺
    10.10.26 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid 1:2 ✺
    19.09.26 Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés 0:0 ✺
    15.09.26 Deportivo Alavés - Valencia 0:1 ✺
    12.09.26 Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés 2:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2
    LLTLL
    - Málaga CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    18.10.26 Málaga - Real Sociedad 2:5 ✺
    09.10.26 Málaga - Espanyol 1:1 ✺
    20.09.26 Getafe - Málaga 1:0 ✺
    17.09.26 Málaga - Villarreal 1:3 ✺
    13.09.26 Celta de Vigo - Málaga 1:1 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1
    LTLLT
    Latest Head to Head
    Spanish LaLiga2
    20.05.23 Deportivo Alavés - Málaga 2:1
    18.12.22 Málaga - Deportivo Alavés 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga
    06.05.18 Málaga - Deportivo Alavés 0:3
    21.12.17 Deportivo Alavés - Málaga 1:0
    11.03.17 Málaga - Deportivo Alavés 1:2
    16.10.16 Deportivo Alavés - Málaga 1:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Deportivo Alavés
    Spanish LaLiga
    31.10.26 Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés ✺
    - Málaga CF
    Spanish LaLiga
    31.10.26 Betis - Málaga ✺

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