Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Flow Eventos, Flow Sports
Austria	DAZN
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	U-NEXT
North-central-america	Flow Sports 2 Caribbean
Paraguay	Flow Eventos
Portugal	Sport TV6
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar 2, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Venevision


	Deportivo Alavés		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.05	3.6	Watch
	2.12	3.05	3.55
	2.24	3.12	3.78
	2.15	3.16	3.68	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.5
	2.28	3.11	3.44	Watch
	2.12	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.3)	3.06 ↓ (3.2)	3.61 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
43.3%

Draw
30.7%

Sevilla
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

28.9%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28.2%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sevilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Sevilla will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 22% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Sevilla (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Sevilla (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sevilla (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Alavés (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 2 - 20%). Sevilla (votes: 7 - 70%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fernandez R. (G) 17. Jonny Otto 14. Tenaglia N. 5. Pacheco J. 3. Yusi 7. Vicente C. 8. Blanco A. (C) 19. Ibanez P. 10. Alena C. 34. Manas A. 11. Martinez T.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 16. Sanchez J. 2. Carmona J. A. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 32. Castrin 36. Oso 20. Sow D. 8. Joan Jordan 28. Bueno M. 14. Peque 7. Romero I.
Substitutes
30. Ballestero C. 15. Boye L. 20. Calebe 6. Guevara A. 18. Guridi J. 35. Olaiz X. 24. Parada V. 23. Protesoni C. 21. Rebbach A. 1. Sivera A. (G) 4. Suarez D.	18. Agoume L. 15. Cardoso F. 26. Costa A. 31. Flores A. (G) 17. Gonzalez A. 24. Januzaj A. 22. Martinez R. 19. Mendy B. 10. Sanchez A. 29. Sierra M. 12. Suazo G.
Coaches
Coudet E.	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Jonny Otto ↓, Protesoni C. ↑,
29', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
45+1', Yusi 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Castrin 🟨,
65', Ibanez P. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
65', Manas A. ↓, Boye L. ↑,
68', Sow D. ↓, Agoume L. ↑,
68', Bueno M. ↓, Mendy B. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Vicente C. (Penalty Awarded),
80', Joan Jordan ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
80', Peque ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
83', Sanchez J. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
86', Blanco A. ↓, Parada V. ↑,
86', Boye L. ↓, Guridi J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Alavés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 30.85%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
02.12.25	Portugalete - Deportivo Alavés	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.11.25	Barcelona - Deportivo Alavés	3:1 ✺
22.11.25	Deportivo Alavés - Celta de Vigo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWLL
- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
14.12.25	Sevilla - Real Oviedo	4:0 ✺
07.12.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	CD Extremadura - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Sevilla - Betis	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Espanyol - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.09.25	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	1:2
20.04.25	Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
20.09.24	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	2:1
12.01.24	Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés	2:3
21.08.23	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	4:3
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.01.23	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
04.03.22	Deportivo Alavés - Sevilla	0:0

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