What is the expert prediction for Sevilla vs Real Oviedo?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Sevilla vs Real Oviedo. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Sevilla vs Real Oviedo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, December 14, 2025)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 16

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Angola	Z Sports 1, Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Mexico	Canal 5, Sky Sport, VIX+, ViX Premium
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ESPN 2 South
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Sevilla		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.75	Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.95	Watch
	2.16	3.21	4
	2.09	3.15	3.97	Watch
	2.05	3	3.8
	2.08	3.28	4.08	Watch
	2.08	3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.65)	3.14 ↓ (3.84)	3.96 ↓ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
45.6%

Draw
30.4%

Real Oviedo
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

24.7%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

22.3%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla's form might have worsened.

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Oviedo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80.3%	15.5%	4.2%

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Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Oviedo (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Oviedo (1.75) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Oviedo (1.82) (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

1X2, 1st Half - Sevilla (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Oviedo (3.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sevilla (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sevilla will win (57 of 71 users predict this - 80.28%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.02% – 89.54%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sevilla will win (28 of 28 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 43 Selected Experts predict this event. Sevilla (votes: 33 - 76.7%). Oviedo (votes: 10 - 23.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 15. Cardoso F. 6. Gudelj N. (C) 32. Castrin 36. Oso 20. Sow D. 18. Agoume L. 19. Mendy B. 9. Adams A. 10. Sanchez A.	13. Escandell A. (G) 24. Ahijado L. 4. Costas D. (C) 16. Carmo D. 3. Alhassane R. 10. Hassan H. 20. Dendoncker L. 11. Colombatto S. 7. Chaira I. 5. Reina A. 23. Rondon S.
Substitutes
28. Bueno M. 26. Costa A. 21. Ejuke C. 31. Flores A. (G) 17. Gonzalez A. 8. Joan Jordan 40. Luchino L. (G) 22. Martinez R. 41. Munoz I. 16. Sanchez J. 29. Sierra M.	27. Agudin P. 2. Bailly E. 18. Brekalo J. 12. Calvo D. 17. Domingues B. 19. Fores A. 25. Lopez J. 15. Luengo O. 32. Menendez D. 1. Moldovan H. (G) 31. Pereda C.
Coaches
Almeyda M.	Carrion L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Adams A. ⚽, Agoume L. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Sow D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ahijado L. ↓, Calvo D. ↑,
46', Chaira I. ↓, Fores A. ↑,
46', Sow D. ↓, Bueno M. ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Mendy B. ⚽, Adams A. (A),
59', Agoume L. 🟨,
61', Reina A. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
70', Alhassane R. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
77', Sanchez A. ↓, Ejuke C. ↑,
77', Mendy B. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
79', Rondon S. ↓, Agudin P. ↑,
82', Carmo D. 🟨,
83', Carmo D. 🟨,
86', Agoume L. ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
89', 4 - 0, Ejuke C. ⚽, Oso (A),

Preview

Limited number of spectators.

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Recent performances by Sevilla have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Oviedo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Sevilla may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sevilla is the team to beat.

There will not play in Sevilla: Azpilicueta C. (Muscle Injury) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury) Nyland O. (Muscle Injury) Peque (Yellow Cards) Romero I. (Red Card) Vargas R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Cazorla S. (Red Card) Ejaria O. (Injury) Ilic L. (Inactive) Lemos A. (Knee Injury) Vidal N. (Injury) Vinas F. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Sevilla: Marcao (Foot Injury)

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC
Spanish LaLiga
07.12.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	CD Extremadura - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Sevilla - Betis	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Espanyol - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLLW
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
05.12.25	Real Oviedo - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Oviedo	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Real Oviedo - Rayo Vallecano	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Oviedo	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Real Oviedo - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLTLT

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