Match Info

LaLiga - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Mestalla (Valencia)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Argentina	DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
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Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
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Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
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France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
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Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Uruguay	DSports 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DSports 1
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Valencia		Sevilla

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.4	3.9	Watch
	1.98	3.45	3.95	Watch
	2.02	3.46	4.13
	1.98	3.46	3.95	Watch
	2	3.3	3.8
	2.06	3.51	3.83	Watch
	2	3.33	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.16)	3.42 ↓ (3.49)	3.94 ↑ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valencia
47.8%

Draw
28%

Sevilla
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.2%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.8%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66%	21.3%	12.8%

Valencia - Sevilla Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Valencia will win (votes: 31 - 67.4%). Sevilla will win (votes: 5 - 10.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 21.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valencia: 53.9% – 80.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Sevilla (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Valencia (1.26) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Valencia (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Valencia (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Sevilla (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Agirrezabala J. (G) 12. Correia T. 5. Tarrega C. 3. Copete J. 14. Gaya J. (C) 11. Rioja L. 18. Pepelu 8. Guerra J. 7. Danjuma A. 10. Almeida A. 9. Duro H.	1. Vlachodimos O. (G) 2. Carmona J. A. 3. Azpilicueta C. (C) 6. Gudelj N. 32. Castrin 36. Oso 20. Sow D. 18. Agoume L. 19. Mendy B. 14. Peque 9. Adams A.
Substitutes
15. Beltran L. 24. Comert E. 1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 20. Foulquier D. 16. Lopez D. 27. Otorbi D. 19. Raba D. 17. Ramazani L. 26. Rubo 22. Santamaria B. 23. Ugrinic F. 21. Vazquez J.	28. Bueno M. 15. Cardoso F. 21. Ejuke C. 31. Flores A. (G) 17. Gonzalez A. 8. Joan Jordan 22. Martinez R. 13. Nyland O. (G) 10. Sanchez A. 29. Sierra M.
Coaches
Corberan C.	Almeyda M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Peque 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 0 - 1, Tarrega C. (Own goal),
63', Guerra J. ↓, Beltran L. ↑,
63', Danjuma A. ↓, Lopez D. ↑,
63', Almeida A. ↓, Ugrinic F. ↑,
68', Rioja L. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
74', Copete J. 🟨,
75', Azpilicueta C. 🟨,
76', Gudelj N. 🟨,
77', Gaya J. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
80', Peque ↓, Joan Jordan ↑,
82', Agoume L. 🟨,
85', Oso ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
86', Agoume L. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
88', Correia T. 🟨,
89', Castrin 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Duro H. ⚽, Ugrinic F. (A),
90+5', Carmona J. A. 🟨,
90+7', Tarrega C. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 16 and 14)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Valencia might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Valencia: Diakhaby M. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Sevilla: Januzaj A. (Muscle Injury) Marcao (Foot Injury) Nianzou T. (Muscle Injury) Romero I. (Red Card) Salas K. (Groin Injury) Sanchez J. (Muscle Injury) Suazo G. (Muscle Injury) Vargas R. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Valencia won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valencia won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sevilla - the odds 3.31 are the expected chance of winning is 28.73%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Valencia
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Cartagena - Valencia	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.12.25	Rayo Vallecano - Valencia	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Valencia - Levante	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Valencia - Betis	1:1 ✺
01.11.25	Real Madrid - Valencia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWTL
- Sevilla FC
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	CD Extremadura - Sevilla	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
30.11.25	Sevilla - Betis	0:2 ✺
24.11.25	Espanyol - Sevilla	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.04.25	Valencia - Sevilla	1:0
11.01.25	Sevilla - Valencia	1:1
17.02.24	Valencia - Sevilla	0:0
11.08.23	Sevilla - Valencia	1:2
16.04.23	Valencia - Sevilla	0:2
18.10.22	Sevilla - Valencia	1:1
19.01.22	Valencia - Sevilla	1:1

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