Match Info

LaLiga - Round 6

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sesma M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Startimes Sports Life
Albania	20:00	SuperSport 1
Argentina	15:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Armenia	22:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect
Austria	20:00	DAZN
Bangladesh	00:00	Begin
Bolivia	14:00	Tigo Sports 1
Chile	15:00	DirecTV Sports
China	02:00	Migu
Croatia	20:00	SportKlub 5
Czech Republic	20:00	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:00	Disney+
Ecuador	13:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Finland	21:00	Disney+
France	20:00	DAZN France, Disney+
Germany	20:00	DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	02:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	20:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	18:00	Disney+
India	23:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	01:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	20:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	03:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	01:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Maldives	23:00	Medianet
Mexico	12:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	20:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	13:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	02:00	beIN Connect
Portugal	19:00	DAZN 3, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	21:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
Russia	21:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV
Serbia	20:00	Arena Premium 5
Singapore	02:00	beIN Sports 2
Slovakia	20:00	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:00	SportKlub 2
South America	—	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	03:00	Coupang Play
Spain	20:00	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	20:00	Disney+
Switzerland	20:00	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	02:00	DAZN
Thailand	01:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Turkey	21:00	S Sport 2
Ukraine	21:00	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United Kingdom	19:00	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	15:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Usa	14:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	14:00	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter
Vietnam	01:00	SCTV Online


	Deportivo Alavés		Valencia

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.40	5.50	Watch
	1.73	3.50	5.25
	1.66	3.55	5.80	Watch
	1.78	3.59	5.50
	1.68	3.78	5.37	Watch
	1.73	3.55	5.45
	1.75	3.45	5.57	Watch
	1.77	3.65	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.23)	3.56 ↑ (3.2)	5.46 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
55.5%

Draw
26.9%

Valencia
17.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.5%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Alavés's performance.

Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Alavés that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	8.3%	5%

Deportivo Alavés - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 52 - 86.7%). Valencia will win (votes: 3 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 78.1% – 95.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Alavés (2.18) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

BTTS - yes (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Alavés will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Alavés (votes: 9 - 90%). Valencia (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sivera A. (G) 14. Tenaglia N. 16. Koski V. 2. Valentini N. 7. Perez A. 19. Ibanez P. 8. Blanco A. (C) 4. Suarez D. 21. Rebbach A. 15. Boye L. 11. Martinez T.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 24. Maffeo P. 18. Pepelu 12. De Haas J. 14. Gaya J. (C) 23. Ugrinic F. 33. Mayol A. 2. Rodriguez G. 7. Danjuma A. 8. Guerra J. 9. Duro H.
Substitutes
10. Alena C. 24. Diallo Selu M. 9. Diaz M. 6. Guevara A. 29. Hernandez I. 17. Jonny Otto 12. Novoa Ramos H. 27. Olaiz X. 23. Protesoni C. 13. Rodriguez A. (G) 22. Rodriguez M. 3. Yusi	37. Blazquez A. 36. Cordoba I. 15. Dieng A. 10. Elliott H. 22. Martinez A. 27. Otorbi D. 29. Panach A. 19. Raba D. 11. Rioja L. 39. Sato R. 25. van Oevelen K. (G) 21. Vazquez J.
Coaches
Sanchez Flores Q.	Sanchez O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Guerra J. 🟨,
21', Blanco A. 🟨,
45+2', Pepelu 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', Mayol A. 🟨,
61', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
63', Duro H. ↓, Rioja L. ↑,
67', Martinez T. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
67', Suarez D. ↓, Yusi ↑,
70', Rodriguez G. ↓, Otorbi D. ↑,
78', 0 - 1, Rioja L. ⚽, Guerra J. (A),
82', De Haas J. ↓, Cordoba I. ↑,
82', Rioja L. ↓, Vazquez J. ↑,
82', Maffeo P. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
85', Perez A. ↓, Alena C. ↑,
85', Blanco A. ↓, Guevara A. ↑,
85', Rebbach A. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 2.

Alavés is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Valencia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Valencia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alavés is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Alavés: Garces F. (Suspended) Manas A. (Injury) Rodriguez M. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Canos S. (Knee Injury) Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Injury) Lopez D. (Knee Injury) Sadiq U. (Muscle Injury) Tarrega C. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Rioja L. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alavés won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:30. (average 1.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Alavés won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Alaves	10	3	3	4	14:11	3	12
19	Valencia	10	1	3	6	7:17	-10	6

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Alaves: 0.2% Valencia: 0.15%

Last Results with these Odds

Deportivo Alavés - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.64%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Valencia - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 27.64%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
12.09.26	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Deportivo Alavés - Osasuna	5:2 ✺
28.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Deportivo Alavés - Getafe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWTW
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
11.09.26	Sevilla - Valencia	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Valencia - Barcelona	0:5 ✺
30.08.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Valencia	3:1 ✺
25.08.26	Valencia - Betis	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Valencia - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
08.03.26	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	3:2
20.10.25	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	0:0
14.05.25	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	1:0
22.12.24	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	2:2
Club Friendly
24.07.24	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
Spanish LaLiga
05.05.24	Valencia - Deportivo Alavés	0:1
02.09.23	Deportivo Alavés - Valencia	1:0

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